Aryna Sabalenka vs Maria Sakkari — Madrid Semi-final

Madrid · WTA · Semi-final
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR2
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
Maria Sakkari
GRE9
Maria Sakkari
#37WTA
1812ELO
1754Clay ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWWL
Sabalenka A.
6-4 6-1
Sakkari M.
Sabalenka A.
662
Sakkari M.
410

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-1 in the Madrid semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 6–3, defending last year's round of 64. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 7–3.

Key context

Head to head

6–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-0 6-1
2023-03-06Indian WellsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari6-2 6-4
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari7-6(1) 6-7(6) 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2020-02-24DohaR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-0
2020-02-17DubaiR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 4-6 6-1
2019-10-22ZhuhaiRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2019-08-12CincinnatiR16hardMaria Sakkari6-7(4) 6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Sakkari M.
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 164). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Sakkari M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
81
Break points saved·Even
98
94
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
77
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Sakkari M.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.6+349 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.4Clay Elo 1754
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1812
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
6.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Sakkari M.
Freshness·Even
90
92

Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Sakkari M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[2]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-33-66-3
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[2]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Kudermetova V.[12]
6-16-1
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Martic P.[27]
6-06-3
Kudermetova V.[12]
Pegula J.[3]
6-40-66-4
Sakkari M.[9]
Begu I.[31]
6-736-46-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Sherif M.
2-66-26-1
R16
Pegula J.[3]
Trevisan M.[18]
6-32-66-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Alexandrova E.[16]
6-46-736-3
Martic P.[27]
Krejcikova B.[11]
6-37-61
Kudermetova V.[12]
Kasatkina D.[8]
7-51-67-62
Sakkari M.[9]
Badosa P.[26]
6-46-4
Sherif M.
Mertens E.[24]
6-40-66-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Andreeva M.
6-36-1
Begu I.[31]
Samsonova L.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Alexandrova E.[16]
Zheng Q.[22]
5-76-46-2
Sakkari M.[9]
Masarova R.
3-66-36-3
Trevisan M.[18]
Parks A.
7-636-1
Andreeva M.
Linette M.[17]
6-36-3
Begu I.[31]
Rogers S.[33]
7-56-2
Krejcikova B.[11]
Wang X.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[2]
Osorio C.
6-47-5
Sherif M.
Garcia C.[5]
7-626-3
Martic P.[27]
Kalinskaya A.
6-34-66-3
Pegula J.[3]
Bouzkova M.[29]
6-47-62
Kasatkina D.[8]
Tsurenko L.
6-46-2
Samsonova L.[14]
Ostapenko J.[19]
6-26-0
Mertens E.[24]
Niemeier J.
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Pera B.[28]
6-36-2
Kudermetova V.[12]
Potapova A.[21]
7-635-76-3
Badosa P.[26]
Gauff C.[6]
6-36-0
R64
Pera B.[28]
Maria T.
6-16-3
Krejcikova B.[11]
Kovinic D.
6-34-66-0
Kalinskaya A.
Rybakina E.[7]
7-54-66-2
Trevisan M.[18]
Bouchard E.
6-27-5
Kudermetova V.[12]
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-34-66-2
Tsurenko L.
Teichmann J.[25]
3-66-26-4
Badosa P.[26]
Cocciaretto E.
6-34-66-4
Begu I.[31]
Muchova K.
6-47-5
Rogers S.[33]
Bogdan A.
6-26-2
Osorio C.
Kostyuk M.[32]
3-66-46-3
Mertens E.[24]
Marino R.
6-36-1
Garcia C.[5]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-4
Andreeva M.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
7-666-3
Parks A.
Azarenka V.[15]
6-27-65
Zheng Q.[22]
Mcnally C.
6-47-63
Sabalenka A.[2]
Cirstea S.
6-46-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Grabher J.
6-36-2
Wang X.
Andreescu B.[23]
3-67-656-2
Martic P.[27]
Siegemund L.
7-666-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Rus A.
6-46-4
Niemeier J.
Kvitova P.[10]
7-696-1
Linette M.[17]
Vondrousova M.
7-614-66-4
Masarova R.
Vekic D.[20]
6-17-65
Gauff C.[6]
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-46-1
Samsonova L.[14]
Zanevska M.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.[8]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[19]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-06-3
Pegula J.[3]
Frech M.
7-656-3
Potapova A.[21]
Cristian J.
7-53-66-2
Sherif M.
Kalinina A.[30]
6-27-63
Alexandrova E.[16]
Cornet A.
7-626-3
Bouzkova M.[29]
Sasnovich A.
6-46-746-3
R128
Grabher J.
Tomova V.
6-17-65
Mcnally C.
Galfi D.
4-66-06-3
Kalinskaya A.
Fruhvirtova B.
2-66-46-4
Bouchard E.
Yastremska D.
6-766-26-2
Masarova R.
Bucsa C.
6-35-76-4
Rus A.
Anisimova A.
7-56-2
Muchova K.
Kontaveit A.
6-26-2
Putintseva Y.
Liu C.
6-46-4
Niemeier J.
Wang X.
6-46-2
Maria T.
Eala A.
6-16-1
Siegemund L.
Podoroska N.
3-66-36-3
Cirstea S.
Davis L.
6-33-66-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Volynets K.
6-37-5
Wang X.
Gracheva V.
6-726-36-4
Sasnovich A.
Svitolina E.
6-47-5
Marino R.
Zhu L.
7-616-4
Parks A.
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-756-2
Osorio C.
Burel C.
6-36-4
Cornet A.
Ruse E.
6-766-46-3
Bogdan A.
Bondar A.
4-66-47-62
Frech M.
Paolini J.
6-26-3
Parrizas Diaz N.
Blinkova A.
6-36-0
Tsurenko L.
Bronzetti L.
6-16-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-16-757-67
Burillo Escorihuela I.
Kanepi K.
6-756-26-4
Cocciaretto E.
Strycova B.
6-37-65
Andreeva M.
Fernandez L.
6-36-4
Vondrousova M.
Bassols Ribera M.
6-16-3
Sherif M.
Giorgi C.
4-66-4
Kovinic D.
Errani S.
6-46-0
Zanevska M.
Kenin S.
6-06-3
Cristian J.
Stephens S.
5-76-46-4