Maria Sakkari vs Aryna Sabalenka — Cincinnati Round of 16
BLR9
Sakkari M.
Maria Sakkari defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-7 6-4 6-4 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 7–2, defending last year's semi-final. Maria Sakkari narrowed the head-to-head to 7–3.
Key context
- Match story: Maria Sakkari dropped the opening set before beating Aryna Sabalenka 6–7 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
2–7| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-0 6-1 |
| 2023-04-24 | Madrid | SF | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2022-10-31 | Fort Worth Finals | RR | hard | Maria Sakkari | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2021-11-10 | Guadalajara Finals | RR | hard | Maria Sakkari | 7-6(1) 6-7(6) 6-3 |
| 2021-01-06 | Abu Dhabi | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2020-02-24 | Doha | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-0 |
| 2020-02-17 | Dubai | R32 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 4-6 6-1 |
| 2019-10-22 | Zhuhai | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 |
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Serve & return on hard
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSakkari M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About