Aryna Sabalenka vs Maria Sakkari — Indian Wells Semi-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Semi-final
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR2
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
Maria Sakkari
GRE7
Maria Sakkari
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Sabalenka A.
6-2 6-3
Sakkari M.
Sabalenka A.
662
Sakkari M.
230

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Maria Sakkari 6-2 6-3 in the Indian Wells semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 6–3, defending last year's round of 64. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 7–3.

Key context

Head to head

6–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-0 6-1
2023-04-24MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari6-2 6-4
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari7-6(1) 6-7(6) 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2020-02-24DohaR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-0
2020-02-17DubaiR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 4-6 6-1
2019-10-22ZhuhaiRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2019-08-12CincinnatiR16hardMaria Sakkari6-7(4) 6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Sakkari M.
96
Serve
24
39
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Sakkari M.
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 164). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Sakkari M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
81
Break points saved·Even
98
94
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Sakkari M.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+405 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1796
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1812
2.8
H2H
7.2
8.6
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
9.3
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.6
Country comfort
5.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Sakkari M.
Freshness·Even
88
90

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[10]
Sabalenka A.[2]
7-6116-4
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[10]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-26-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Sakkari M.[7]
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Cirstea S.
6-26-3
Sakkari M.[7]
Kvitova P.[15]
4-67-56-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Muchova K.
7-642-66-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Gauff C.[6]
6-46-0
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Raducanu E.
6-36-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Gracheva V.
6-36-0
Kvitova P.[15]
Pegula J.[3]
6-23-67-611
Sabalenka A.[2]
Krejcikova B.[16]
6-32-66-4
Sakkari M.[7]
Pliskova K.[17]
6-45-76-3
Cirstea S.
Garcia C.[5]
6-44-67-5
Muchova K.
Vondrousova M.
6-46-726-4
Gauff C.[6]
Peterson R.
6-31-66-4
R32
Raducanu E.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
6-12-66-4
Garcia C.[5]
Fernandez L.[30]
6-46-756-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Badosa P.[21]
6-37-5
Sakkari M.[7]
Kalinina A.[27]
3-66-26-4
Kvitova P.[15]
Ostapenko J.[24]
0-66-06-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Andreescu B.[32]
6-37-61
Krejcikova B.[16]
Wang X.
6-26-716-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Tsurenko L.
W/O
Muchova K.
Trevisan M.[23]
6-43-66-4
Gracheva V.
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-46-4
Cirstea S.
Pera B.
6-36-1
Pegula J.[3]
Potapova A.[26]
3-66-47-5
Gauff C.[6]
Noskova L.
6-46-3
Peterson R.
Teichmann J.
3-66-36-1
Pliskova K.[17]
Kudermetova V.[11]
6-17-5
Vondrousova M.
Jabeur O.[4]
7-656-4
R64
Swiatek I.[1]
Liu C.
6-06-1
Andreescu B.[32]
Stearns P.
4-66-46-3
Cirstea S.
Keys M.[19]
6-1
Haddad Maia B.[13]
Siniakova K.
5-77-646-3
Pera B.
Samsonova L.[12]
2-67-687-66
Rybakina E.[10]
Kenin S.
7-667-65
Fernandez L.[30]
Navarro E.
6-26-4
Trevisan M.[23]
Brengle M.
5-76-16-2
Muchova K.
Azarenka V.[14]
7-616-3
Pliskova K.[17]
Kalinskaya A.
2-66-06-4
Kvitova P.[15]
Mandlik E.
6-17-5
Potapova A.[26]
Wang X.
4-67-646-2
Gauff C.[6]
Bucsa C.
6-26-4
Noskova L.
Anisimova A.[31]
7-666-3
Teichmann J.
Bencic B.[9]
3-66-36-3
Krejcikova B.[16]
Yastremska D.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Rodina E.
6-26-0
Peterson R.
Zhang S.[22]
3-0
Pegula J.[3]
Giorgi C.
3-66-16-2
Ostapenko J.[24]
Sasnovich A.
7-53-66-2
Vondrousova M.
Bouzkova M.[28]
6-16-1
Kudermetova V.[11]
Blinkova A.
6-36-4
Gracheva V.
Martic P.[25]
6-36-2
Wang X.
Alexandrova E.[18]
6-26-3
Badosa P.[21]
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-27-5
Kasatkina D.[8]
Maria T.
6-26-1
Tsurenko L.
Vekic D.[29]
2-66-26-2
Jabeur O.[4]
Frech M.
4-66-46-1
Sakkari M.[7]
Rogers S.
2-66-46-0
Garcia C.[5]
Galfi D.
6-16-746-4
Kalinina A.[27]
Fruhvirtova L.
4-66-47-5
Raducanu E.
Linette M.[20]
7-636-2
R128
Navarro E.
Mcnally C.
1-66-16-1
Vondrousova M.
Marino R.
6-26-2
Brengle M.
Siegemund L.
7-656-4
Rogers S.
Volynets K.
6-44-66-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Sherif M.
0-66-26-3
Kalinskaya A.
Parks A.
6-16-1
Noskova L.
Begu I.
7-676-1
Gracheva V.
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-2
Galfi D.
Collins D.
6-46-4
Bucsa C.
Swan K.
7-667-5
Kenin S.
Stephens S.
6-46-1
Liu C.
Schmiedlova A.
7-656-3
Stearns P.
Masarova R.
4-66-46-4
Raducanu E.
Kovinic D.
6-26-3
Pera B.
Bronzetti L.
7-54-66-3
Muchova K.
Putintseva Y.
6-34-66-4
Parrizas Diaz N.
Cocciaretto E.
6-37-5
Maria T.
Paolini J.
7-56-1
Sasnovich A.
Kanepi K.
6-37-65
Wang X.
Danilovic O.
4-66-26-3
Giorgi C.
Rus A.
6-36-3
Teichmann J.
Krueger A.
6-16-4
Yastremska D.
Bondar A.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Mertens E.
6-36-1
Blinkova A.
Li A.
6-16-2
Cirstea S.
Birrell K.
6-36-2
Peterson R.
Kostyuk M.
7-55-77-5
Tsurenko L.
Zhu L.
6-46-3
Rodina E.
Cornet A.
6-27-5
Siniakova K.
Niemeier J.
7-56-4
Frech M.
Zanevska M.
4-66-46-2
Mandlik E.
Riske Amritraj A.
6-35-77-61