Jan Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik — Phoenix CH Quarter-final

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Jan Lennard Struff
GER
Jan Lennard Struff
#41ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 March 2023
hard
Alexander Bublik
KAZ4
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Struff J.
6-4 3-6 6-4
Bublik A.
Struff J.
6362
Bublik A.
4641

Jan Lennard Struff defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 3-6 6-4 in the Phoenix CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11. Jan Lennard Struff extended the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

4–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-10StuttgartR16grassAlexander Bublik6.3-7.7 6-3 2-6
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayJan Lennard Struff5-7 7.8-6.6 4-6 5-7
2026-02-23DubaiR32hardAlexander Bublik6-3 6-4
2026-02-09RotterdamR16hardAlexander Bublik7-6(2) 4-6 6-3
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayJan Lennard Struff6-2 6-2 6-3
2023-06-19HalleR16grassAlexander Bublik6-3 6-7(4) 6-3
2021-10-25St. PetersburgR16carpetJan Lennard Struff6-4 6-3
2018-04-23BudapestR16clayJan Lennard Struff6-1 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Struff J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Struff J.Bublik A.
36
Serve
65
41
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Struff J.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.8
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Struff J.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
21
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
99
Tiebreaks·Even
94
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Struff J.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Bublik A.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1634
Surface ELO
7.7+203 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
4.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Struff J.Bublik A.
Freshness·Slight edge
71
78

Struff J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Borges N.
Shevchenko A.
4-66-26-1
Semi-finals
Shevchenko A.
Halys Q.
6-736-46-3
Borges N.
Struff J.
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Borges N.
Popyrin A.
7-56-746-3
Halys Q.
Kovacevic A.
1-66-36-2
Struff J.
Bublik A.[4]
6-43-66-4
Shevchenko A.
Berrettini M.[1]
6-43-66-3
R16
Borges N.
Safiullin R.
7-56-4
Popyrin A.
Ymer M.[7]
6-26-2
Kovacevic A.
Gasquet R.[3]
6-23-66-4
Shevchenko A.
Huesler M.[6]
7-56-1
Struff J.
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-3
Halys Q.
Ruusuvuori E.[8]
3-66-36-4
Bublik A.[4]
Zhang Z.
6-16-2
Berrettini M.[1]
Vukic A.
7-57-65
R32
Huesler M.[6]
Krajinovic F.
7-652-0
Zhang Z.
Hijikata R.
6-746-36-4
Borges N.
Schwartzman D.[2]
7-56-3
Safiullin R.
Martinez P.
6-36-2
Popyrin A.
Otte O.
6-46-3
Kokkinakis T.
Lehecka J.[5]
7-656-4
Ruusuvuori E.[8]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-0
Gasquet R.[3]
Nava E.
7-656-3
Vukic A.
Arnaldi M.
6-24-66-3
Berrettini M.[1]
Bellucci M.
6-46-4
Kovacevic A.
Oconnell C.
6-33-67-66
Ymer M.[7]
Albot R.
6-17-5
Bublik A.[4]
Kudla D.
7-694-66-2
Struff J.
Kotov P.
6-26-4
Halys Q.
Barrere G.
6-36-1
Shevchenko A.
Monfils G.
6-46-726-3