Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Cincinnati Masters Quarter-final

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
Daniil Medvedev
RUS1
Daniil Medvedev
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP7
Pablo Carreno Busta
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Medvedev D.
6-1 6-1
Carreno Busta P.
Medvedev D.
662
Carreno Busta P.
110

Daniil Medvedev defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-1 6-1 in the Cincinnati Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

4–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-11-28Davis Cup Finals RR: ESP vs RTFRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 7-6(3)
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsQFhardPablo Carreno Busta6-2 7-6(5)
2021-06-21MallorcaSFgrassDaniil Medvedev3-6 6-3 6-2
2018-10-29Paris MastersR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-2
2018-03-05Indian Wells MastersR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-1 7-5
2017-10-16MoscowR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Carreno Busta P.
47
Serve
21
94
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Medvedev D.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.6
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Medvedev D.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
99
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
80
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Medvedev D.
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Carreno Busta P.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
8.1+218 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Hard Elo 1744
8.0Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1801
4.6
H2H
5.4
8.6
Surface form
7.3
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
6.1
Country comfort
5.7
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0
2.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Medvedev D.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·Slight edge
82
89

Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%
Final
Zverev A.[3]
Rublev A.[4]
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[3]
Tsitsipas S.[2]
6-43-67-64
Rublev A.[4]
Medvedev D.[1]
2-66-36-3
Quarter-finals
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
6-25-76-1
Zverev A.[3]
Ruud C.[8]
6-16-3
Rublev A.[4]
Paire B.
6-23-66-3
Medvedev D.[1]
Carreno Busta P.[7]
6-16-1
R16
Rublev A.[4]
Monfils G.
7-627-65
Carreno Busta P.[7]
Hurkacz H.[9]
7-667-63
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Sonego L.
5-76-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Berrettini M.[5]
6-46-3
Zverev A.[3]
Pella G.
6-26-3
Ruud C.[8]
Schwartzman D.[10]
6-46-3
Paire B.
Isner J.
7-616-726-1
Medvedev D.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-36-3
R32
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Korda S.
7-656-3
Sonego L.
Paul T.
7-696-2
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Khachanov K.
6-756-36-4
Berrettini M.[5]
Ramos A.
6-756-37-5
Zverev A.[3]
Harris L.
7-636-2
Pella G.
Fognini F.
6-17-5
Schwartzman D.[10]
Tiafoe F.
6-14-66-4
Ruud C.[8]
Opelka R.
6-756-07-64
Paire B.
Shapovalov D.[6]
6-34-67-5
Isner J.
Sinner J.[11]
5-77-646-4
Monfils G.
De Minaur A.[14]
6-37-5
Rublev A.[4]
Cilic M.
5-76-36-1
Carreno Busta P.[7]
Koepfer D.
6-46-2
Hurkacz H.[9]
Murray A.
7-646-3
Dimitrov G.
Bublik A.
6-37-5
Medvedev D.[1]
Mcdonald M.
6-26-2
R64
Bublik A.
Giron M.
3-66-37-65
Paul T.
Garin C.[16]
4-66-36-4
Opelka R.
Moutet C.
7-634-66-4
Korda S.
Djere L.
6-46-4
Sonego L.
Alcaraz C.
6-37-66
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Fucsovics M.
7-606-3
Khachanov K.
Anderson K.
6-26-4
Ramos A.
Fritz T.
4-66-46-4
Harris L.
Nishioka Y.
6-36-4
Fognini F.
Basilashvili N.
7-636-3
Pella G.
Goffin D.[15]
6-36-3
Schwartzman D.[10]
Evans D.
6-24-66-3
Tiafoe F.
Humbert U.
7-57-69
Paire B.
Kecmanovic M.
5-76-36-2
Isner J.
Norrie C.
4-67-656-4
Sinner J.[11]
Delbonis F.
6-27-5
De Minaur A.[14]
Krajinovic F.
0-66-46-4
Monfils G.
Lajovic D.
7-606-2
Cilic M.
Karatsev A.
7-56-3
Koepfer D.
Struff J.
7-625-76-3
Murray A.
Gasquet R.
6-46-4
Hurkacz H.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-16-736-1
Dimitrov G.
Bautista Agut R.[13]
6-36-4
Mcdonald M.
Nakashima B.
7-56-2