Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno BustaMoscow Round of 16

Moscow · ATP · Round of 16
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2017
hard
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Medvedev D.
6-3 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Medvedev D.
662
Carreno Busta P.
330

Daniil Medvedev defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 6-3 in the Moscow round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-11-28Davis Cup Finals RR: ESP vs RTFRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 7-6(3)
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-1 6-1
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsQFhardPablo Carreno Busta6-2 7-6(5)
2021-06-21MallorcaSFgrassDaniil Medvedev3-6 6-3 6-2
2018-10-29Paris MastersR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-2
2018-03-05Indian Wells MastersR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-1 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Carreno Busta P.
47
Serve
21
94
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.6
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
99
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
80
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
92

Medvedev D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast