Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno BustaMallorca Semi-final

Mallorca · ATP · Semi-final
#8ATP
1977ELO
1855Grass ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 June 2021
grass
#65ATP
1801ELO
1598Grass ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Medvedev D.
3-6 6-3 6-2
Carreno Busta P.
Medvedev D.
3662
Carreno Busta P.
6321

Daniil Medvedev defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Mallorca semi-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-11-28Davis Cup Finals RR: ESP vs RTFRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 7-6(3)
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-1 6-1
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsQFhardPablo Carreno Busta6-2 7-6(5)
2018-10-29Paris MastersR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-2
2018-03-05Indian Wells MastersR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-1 7-5
2017-10-16MoscowR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.6
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
99
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
80
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
8.8+257 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Grass Elo 1598
8.0Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1801
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
2.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
92

Medvedev D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast