Pablo Carreno Busta vs Daniil MedvedevIndian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 March 2018
hard
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Carreno Busta P.
6-1 7-5
Medvedev D.
Carreno Busta P.
672
Medvedev D.
150

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-1 7-5 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 128. Pablo Carreno Busta narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Pablo Carreno Busta came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-11-28Davis Cup Finals RR: ESP vs RTFRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 7-6(3)
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-1 6-1
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsQFhardPablo Carreno Busta6-2 7-6(5)
2021-06-21MallorcaSFgrassDaniil Medvedev3-6 6-3 6-2
2018-10-29Paris MastersR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-2
2017-10-16MoscowR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Medvedev D.
21
Serve
47
44
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
96
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Dominant
61
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
90

Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Medvedev D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 10%