Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolini — Roland Garros Round of 64

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 64
Maria Sakkari
GRE17
Maria Sakkari
#43WTA
1812ELO
1754Clay ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 May 2021
clay
Jasmine Paolini
ITA13
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Sakkari M.
6-2 6-3
Paolini J.
Sakkari M.
662
Paolini J.
230

Maria Sakkari defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-3 in the Roland Garros round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 64, but Maria Sakkari had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 4 on clay. Maria Sakkari narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-04WimbledonR32grassJasmine Paolini6-1 6-2
2026-02-08DohaR32hardMaria Sakkari6-4 6-2
2025-08-07CincinnatiR64hardJasmine Paolini7-6(2) 7-6(5)
2025-04-22MadridR32clayMaria Sakkari6-2 6-1
2024-02-19DubaiR16hardJasmine Paolini6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sakkari M.Paolini J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sakkari M.Paolini J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
87
Break points won·Clear edge
87
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sakkari M.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Paolini J.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1754
Surface ELO
6.4+102 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
4.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.4
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sakkari M.Paolini J.
Freshness·Clear edge
89
72

Sakkari M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw

Final
Krejcikova B.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[31]
6-12-66-4
Semi-finals
Krejcikova B.
Sakkari M.[17]
7-54-69-7
Pavlyuchenkova A.[31]
Zidansek T.[22]
7-56-3
Quarter-finals
Krejcikova B.
Gauff C.[4]
7-666-3
Sakkari M.[17]
Swiatek I.[3]
6-46-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[31]
Rybakina E.[2]
6-726-29-7
Zidansek T.[22]
Badosa P.[33]
7-54-68-6
R16
Krejcikova B.
Stephens S.
6-26-0
Sakkari M.[17]
Kenin S.[4]
6-16-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.[31]
Azarenka V.[15]
5-76-36-2
Badosa P.[33]
Vondrousova M.[20]
6-43-66-2
Gauff C.[4]
Jabeur O.[25]
6-36-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-36-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Williams S.[7]
6-37-5
Zidansek T.[22]
Cirstea S.[18]
7-646-1
R32
Gauff C.[4]
Brady J.[13]
6-10-0
Vondrousova M.[20]
Hercog P.
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Vesnina E.
6-16-4
Williams S.[7]
Collins D.
6-46-4
Jabeur O.[25]
Linette M.
3-66-06-1
Cirstea S.[18]
Kasatkina D.
6-36-2
Zidansek T.[22]
Siniakova K.
0-67-656-2
Badosa P.[33]
Bogdan A.
2-67-646-4
Stephens S.
Muchova K.[10]
6-37-5
Krejcikova B.
Svitolina E.[7]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[17]
Mertens E.[23]
7-56-726-2
Kostyuk M.[15]
Gracheva V.
6-16-2
Azarenka V.[15]
Keys M.[19]
6-26-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[31]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-42-66-0
Swiatek I.[3]
Kontaveit A.[30]
7-646-0
Kenin S.[4]
Pegula J.[5]
4-66-16-4
R64
Vesnina E.
Kvitova P.[11]
W/O
Linette M.
Barty A.[1]
6-12-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[31]
Tomljanovic A.
6-26-3
Hercog P.
Garcia C.
7-56-4
Bogdan A.
Osaka N.[16]
W/O
Collins D.
Kalinina A.
6-06-2
Williams S.[7]
Buzarnescu M.
6-35-76-1
Vondrousova M.[20]
Tan H.
6-16-3
Badosa P.[33]
Kovinic D.
6-26-0
Gauff C.[4]
Wang Q.
6-37-61
Jabeur O.[25]
Sharma A.
6-26-4
Brady J.[13]
Ferro F.
6-42-67-5
Kontaveit A.[30]
Mladenovic K.
6-26-0
Siniakova K.
Kudermetova V.[29]
7-675-77-5
Kenin S.[4]
Baptiste H.[26]
7-56-3
Gracheva V.
Giorgi C.
7-51-66-2
Pegula J.[5]
Martincova T.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[17]
Paolini J.[13]
6-26-3
Krejcikova B.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-26-3
Svitolina E.[7]
Li A.[30]
6-06-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Hibino N.
6-36-1
Keys M.[19]
Fernandez L.[24]
6-17-5
Mertens E.[23]
Diyas Z.
4-66-26-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Peterson R.
6-16-1
Muchova K.[10]
Lepchenko V.
6-36-4
Kostyuk M.[15]
Zheng S.
6-36-4
Azarenka V.[15]
Tauson C.[21]
7-56-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Sasnovich A.[14]
7-56-3
Zidansek T.[22]
Brengle M.
6-46-1
Cirstea S.[18]
Trevisan M.
6-43-66-4
Kasatkina D.
Bencic B.[11]
6-26-2
Stephens S.
Pliskova K.[20]
7-56-1
R128
Wang Q.
Hsieh S.
2-66-47-5
Mertens E.[23]
Hunter S.
6-46-1
Zheng S.
Sorribes Tormo S.
4-66-46-4
Buzarnescu M.
Rus A.
7-57-5
Osaka N.[16]
Tig P.
6-47-64
Martincova T.
Jorovic I.
6-37-66
Collins D.
Wang X.[32]
6-24-66-4
Vesnina E.
Govortsova O.
6-16-0
Azarenka V.[15]
Kuznetsova S.
6-42-66-3
Lepchenko V.
Zhang S.
6-36-3
Krejcikova B.
Pliskova K.
5-76-46-2
Hibino N.
Stojanovic N.
7-646-2
Trevisan M.
Van Uytvanck A.
7-54-66-4
Kasatkina D.
Doi M.
6-35-76-3
Sakkari M.[17]
Zavatska K.
6-46-1
Sharma A.
Bara I.
7-656-2
Linette M.
Paquet C.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Krunic A.
7-6116-4
Muchova K.[10]
Petkovic A.
1-66-36-4
Brady J.[13]
Sevastova A.
6-36-3
Kontaveit A.[30]
Golubic V.
6-747-656-0
Kostyuk M.[15]
Muguruza G.[12]
6-16-4
Peterson R.
Rogers S.
6-737-686-2
Kalinina A.
Kerber A.[26]
6-26-4
Tauson C.[21]
Gorgodze E.
6-46-2
Sasnovich A.[14]
Parry D.
6-33-66-3
Kvitova P.[11]
Minnen G.
6-737-656-1
Pavlyuchenkova A.[31]
Mchale C.
6-46-0
Brengle M.
Osorio C.
7-56-4
Garcia C.
Siegemund L.
6-36-1
Tan H.
Cornet A.
6-46-4
Vondrousova M.[20]
Kanepi K.
4-66-36-0
Badosa P.[33]
Davis L.
6-27-63
Kovinic D.
Burel C.
6-37-68
Bogdan A.
Cocciaretto E.
6-16-3
Barty A.[1]
Pera B.
6-43-66-2
Kudermetova V.[29]
Anisimova A.[6]
7-656-1
Kenin S.[4]
Ostapenko J.[29]
6-44-66-3
Ferro F.
Liang E.
6-11-66-4
Stephens S.
Suarez Navarro C.
3-67-646-4
Diyas Z.
Watson H.
6-47-5
Gracheva V.
Arruabarrena L.
6-26-3
Mladenovic K.
Schmiedlova A.
6-46-0
Williams S.[7]
Begu I.
7-666-2
Jabeur O.[25]
Putintseva Y.
7-56-2
Giorgi C.
Martic P.[22]
6-26-756-4
Tomljanovic A.
Baindl K.
6-26-4
Hercog P.
Bertens K.[16]
6-13-66-4
Svitolina E.[7]
Babel O.
6-27-5
Pliskova K.[20]
Vekic D.
7-56-4
Li A.[30]
Gasparyan M.
6-06-1
Keys M.[19]
Dodin O.
6-33-66-1
Cirstea S.[18]
Konta J.[19]
7-656-2
Bencic B.[11]
Podoroska N.
6-06-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Juvan K.[11]
6-07-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Konjuh A.
6-46-3
Zidansek T.[22]
Andreescu B.[25]
6-717-629-7
Paolini J.[13]
Voegele S.
7-56-1
Alexandrova E.[14]
Williams V.
6-36-1
Baptiste H.[26]
Blinkova A.
6-16-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Jacquemot E.
6-46-1
Pegula J.[5]
Zhu L.
6-44-66-4
Fernandez L.[24]
Potapova A.[28]
6-26-1
Siniakova K.
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-04-66-2