

Marin Cilic defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-6 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters quarter-final on hard. Marin Cilic extended the head-to-head to 5–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-23 | Davis Cup Finals QF: CRO vs ESP | RR | hard | Marin Cilic | 5-7 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2021-07-24 | Tokyo Olympics | R32 | hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 5-7 6-4 6-4 |
| 2018-05-14 | Rome Masters | QF | clay | Marin Cilic | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2018-01-15 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Marin Cilic | 6-7(2) 6-3 7-6(0) 7-6(3) |
| 2016-10-24 | Basel | R16 | hard | Marin Cilic | 6-0 7-6(4) |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Cilic M.: 15 days rest · Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About