Marin Cilic vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Australian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 16
Marin Cilic
CRO6
Marin Cilic
#88ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2018
hard
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP10
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Cilic M.
6-7 6-3 7-6 7-6
Carreno Busta P.
Cilic M.
62677773
Carreno Busta P.
77360631

Marin Cilic defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-7 6-3 7-6 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Marin Cilic came in leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 64. Marin Cilic extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

4–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-11-23Davis Cup Finals QF: CRO vs ESPRRhardMarin Cilic5-7 6-3 7-6(5)
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsR32hardPablo Carreno Busta5-7 6-4 6-4
2018-08-13Cincinnati MastersQFhardMarin Cilic7-6(7) 6-4
2018-05-14Rome MastersQFclayMarin Cilic6-3 6-3
2016-10-24BaselR16hardMarin Cilic6-0 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Cilic M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cilic M.Carreno Busta P.
57
Serve
21
10
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Cilic M.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.6
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cilic M.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Even
76
78
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Clear edge
41
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Cilic M.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·Slight edge
98
92

Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°CDrizzle
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 71%
Final
Federer R.[2]
Cilic M.[6]
6-26-756-33-66-1
Semi-finals
Federer R.[2]
Chung H.
6-15-2
Cilic M.[6]
Edmund K.
6-27-646-2
Quarter-finals
Federer R.[2]
Berdych T.[19]
7-616-36-4
Chung H.
Sandgren T.
6-47-656-3
Edmund K.
Dimitrov G.[3]
6-43-66-36-4
Cilic M.[6]
Nadal R.[1]
3-66-36-756-22-0
R16
Nadal R.[1]
Schwartzman D.[24]
6-36-746-36-3
Dimitrov G.[3]
Kyrgios N.[17]
7-637-644-67-64
Sandgren T.
Thiem D.[5]
6-24-67-646-776-3
Chung H.
Djokovic N.[14]
7-647-57-63
Cilic M.[6]
Carreno Busta P.[10]
6-726-37-607-63
Berdych T.[19]
Fognini F.[25]
6-16-46-4
Federer R.[2]
Fucsovics M.
6-47-636-2
Edmund K.
Seppi A.
6-747-56-26-3
R32
Nadal R.[1]
Dzumhur D.[28]
6-16-36-1
Schwartzman D.[24]
Dolgopolov A.
6-716-26-36-3
Carreno Busta P.[10]
Muller G.[23]
7-644-67-57-5
Dimitrov G.[3]
Rublev A.[30]
6-34-66-46-4
Kyrgios N.[17]
Tsonga J.[15]
7-654-67-667-65
Edmund K.
Basilashvili N.
7-603-64-66-07-5
Seppi A.
Karlovic I.
6-37-646-736-759-7
Thiem D.[5]
Mannarino A.[26]
6-46-27-5
Sandgren T.
Marterer M.
5-76-37-57-65
Djokovic N.[14]
Ramos A.[21]
6-26-36-3
Chung H.
Zverev A.[4]
5-77-632-66-36-0
Fognini F.[25]
Benneteau J.
3-66-26-14-66-3
Fucsovics M.
Kicker N.
6-36-36-2
Federer R.[2]
Gasquet R.[29]
6-27-56-4
Berdych T.[19]
del Potro J.[12]
6-36-36-2
Cilic M.[6]
Harrison R.
7-646-37-64
R64
Nadal R.[1]
Mayer L.
6-36-47-64
Schwartzman D.[24]
Ruud C.
6-46-26-3
Dolgopolov A.
Ebden M.
7-606-36-4
Muller G.[23]
Jaziri M.
7-56-46-753-66-2
Harrison R.
Cuevas P.[31]
6-47-656-4
Cilic M.[6]
Sousa J.
6-17-56-2
Dimitrov G.[3]
Mcdonald M.
4-66-26-40-68-6
Rublev A.[30]
Baghdatis M.
6-46-756-46-2
Tsonga J.[15]
Shapovalov D.
3-66-31-67-647-5
Edmund K.
Istomin D.
6-26-26-4
Basilashvili N.
Bemelmans R.
7-56-16-3
Seppi A.
Nishioka Y.
6-16-36-4
Karlovic I.
Sugita Y.
7-636-737-54-612-10
Thiem D.[5]
Kudla D.
6-763-66-36-26-3
Mannarino A.[26]
Vesely J.
6-37-645-76-3
Marterer M.
Verdasco F.
6-44-67-653-66-3
Sandgren T.
Wawrinka S.[9]
6-26-16-4
Djokovic N.[14]
Monfils G.
4-66-36-16-3
Ramos A.[21]
Smyczek T.
6-46-27-62
Zverev A.[4]
Gojowczyk P.
6-16-34-66-3
Benneteau J.
Goffin D.[7]
1-67-656-17-64
Berdych T.[19]
Garcia Lopez G.
6-32-66-26-3
del Potro J.[12]
Khachanov K.
6-47-646-706-4
Fucsovics M.
Querrey S.[13]
6-47-664-66-2
Kicker N.
Lacko L.
6-27-51-67-5
Gasquet R.[29]
Sonego L.
6-26-26-3
Federer R.[2]
Struff J.
6-46-47-64
Kyrgios N.[17]
Troicki V.
7-56-47-62
Fognini F.[25]
Donskoy E.
2-66-36-46-1
Carreno Busta P.[10]
Simon G.
6-23-0
Chung H.
Medvedev D.
7-646-16-1
Dzumhur D.[28]
Millman J.
7-53-66-46-1
R128
Harrison R.
Sela D.
6-35-73-67-56-2
Nadal R.[1]
Estrella V.
6-16-16-1
Mayer L.
Jarry N.
6-27-616-3
Millman J.
Coric B.
7-56-46-1
Dzumhur D.[28]
Lorenzi P.
3-62-67-656-26-4
Schwartzman D.[24]
Lajovic D.
2-66-35-76-411-9
Ruud C.
Halys Q.
6-33-66-757-511-9
Ebden M.
Isner J.[16]
6-43-66-36-3
Muller G.[23]
Delbonis F.
7-56-46-3
Cuevas P.[31]
Youzhny M.
7-676-37-5
Sousa J.
Brown D.
6-46-34-66-746-1
Cilic M.[6]
Pospisil V.
6-26-24-67-65
Dimitrov G.[3]
Novak D.
6-36-26-1
Mcdonald M.
Ymer E.
6-46-34-66-1
Rublev A.[30]
Ferrer D.
7-56-766-26-766-2
Kyrgios N.[17]
Dutra Silva R.
6-16-26-4
Troicki V.
Bolt A.
6-724-66-26-36-4
Tsonga J.[15]
King K.
6-46-46-1
Edmund K.
Anderson K.[11]
6-746-33-66-36-4
Bemelmans R.
Pouille L.[18]
6-46-46-747-66
Seppi A.
Moutet C.
3-66-46-26-2
Karlovic I.
Djere L.
7-636-37-62
Thiem D.[5]
Pella G.
6-46-46-4
Kudla D.
Johnson S.
6-756-37-636-2
Vesely J.
Safranek V.
6-46-36-3
Verdasco F.
Bautista Agut R.[20]
6-17-57-5
Marterer M.
Stebe C.
6-06-36-4
Wawrinka S.[9]
Berankis R.
6-36-42-67-62
Djokovic N.[14]
Young D.
6-16-26-4
Monfils G.
Munar J.
6-37-656-4
Smyczek T.
Popyrin A.
6-36-7146-36-3
Medvedev D.
Kokkinakis T.
6-26-767-686-4
Gojowczyk P.
Kukushkin M.
6-36-36-1
Zverev A.[4]
Fabbiano T.
6-17-657-5
Benneteau J.
Daniel T.
6-767-606-46-1
Donskoy E.
Mayer F.
6-46-46-4
Garcia Lopez G.
Paire B.
6-06-746-16-4
del Potro J.[12]
Tiafoe F.
6-36-46-3
Querrey S.[13]
Lopez F.
6-36-46-2
Fucsovics M.
Albot R.
6-26-34-67-5
Lacko L.
Raonic M.[22]
6-757-56-47-64
Gasquet R.[29]
Kavcic B.
6-16-47-5
Sonego L.
Haase R.
6-37-56-767-5
Struff J.
Kwon S.
6-16-26-4
Federer R.[2]
Bedene A.
6-36-46-3
Kicker N.
Thompson J.
6-36-14-63-66-3
Chung H.
Zverev M.[32]
6-24-1
Basilashvili N.
Melzer G.
6-36-42-66-3
Baghdatis M.
Bhambri Y.
7-646-46-3
Dolgopolov A.
Haider Maurer A.
7-636-36-4
Ramos A.[21]
Donaldson J.
6-26-36-4
Jaziri M.
Caruso S.
6-723-66-37-56-3
Sandgren T.
Chardy J.
6-47-626-2
Sugita Y.
Sock J.[8]
6-17-645-76-3
Simon G.
Copil M.
7-56-46-3
Fognini F.[25]
Zeballos H.
6-46-47-5
Nishioka Y.
Kohlschreiber P.[27]
6-32-66-01-66-2
Khachanov K.
Polansky P.
7-637-626-4
Carreno Busta P.[10]
Kubler J.
7-54-67-56-1
Shapovalov D.
Tsitsipas S.
6-16-37-65
Goffin D.[7]
Bachinger M.
6-736-36-26-4
Istomin D.
Herbert P.
6-26-15-77-63
Mannarino A.[26]
Berrettini M.
6-46-46-4
Berdych T.[19]
De Minaur A.
6-33-66-06-1