Marin Cilic vs Pablo Carreno BustaBasel Round of 16

Basel · ATP · Round of 16
#88ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 October 2016
hard
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Cilic M.
6-0 7-6
Carreno Busta P.
Cilic M.
6772
Carreno Busta P.
0640

Marin Cilic defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-0 7-6 in the Basel round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Marin Cilic came in leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Marin Cilic extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-11-23Davis Cup Finals QF: CRO vs ESPRRhardMarin Cilic5-7 6-3 7-6(5)
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsR32hardPablo Carreno Busta5-7 6-4 6-4
2018-08-13Cincinnati MastersQFhardMarin Cilic7-6(7) 6-4
2018-05-14Rome MastersQFclayMarin Cilic6-3 6-3
2018-01-15Australian OpenR16hardMarin Cilic6-7(2) 6-3 7-6(0) 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Cilic M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cilic M.Carreno Busta P.
57
Serve
21
10
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.6
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
76
78
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Clear edge
41
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
92

Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast