Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis ShapovalovUS Open Round of 16

US Open · ATP · Round of 16
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 August 2017
hard
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Carreno Busta P.
7-6 7-6 7-6
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
7777773
Shapovalov D.
6264630

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Denis Shapovalov 7-6 7-6 7-6 in the US Open round of 16 on hard. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 7–2.

Key context

Head to head

62
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-29WimbledonR128grassPablo Carreno Busta3-6 6.7-7.9 0-0
2026-02-23DubaiR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-2 6-4
2022-10-31Paris MastersR32hardPablo Carreno Busta7-6(2) 2-6 6-4
2022-01-03Atp CupFhardDenis Shapovalov6-4 6-3
2020-08-31US OpenQFhardPablo Carreno Busta3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4) 0-6 6-3
2019-10-21ViennaR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 7-5
2019-09-23ChengduSFhardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-4
2019-05-13Rome MastersR64clayDenis Shapovalov6-3 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Shapovalov D.
21
Serve
25
44
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
8.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
85
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Slight edge
61
71
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
98

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 52%
R128
Verdasco F.
Pospisil V.
6-2
Daniel T.
Paul T.
6-14-64-66-26-2
Sugita Y.
Blancaneaux G.
6-26-26-0
Mayer L.
Gasquet R.[26]
3-66-26-46-2
Travaglia S.
Fognini F.[22]
6-47-683-66-0
Troicki V.
Gombos N.
3-66-33-66-46-3
Berdych T.[15]
Harrison R.
6-46-27-64
Goffin D.[9]
Benneteau J.
6-42-66-46-2
Pella G.
Darcis S.
6-16-26-0
Young D.
Marterer M.
6-31-66-16-4
Monfils G.[18]
Chardy J.
7-666-36-4
Dzumhur D.
Cuevas P.[27]
7-57-636-1
Stebe C.
Kicker N.
5-76-36-16-1
Rublev A.
Bedene A.
6-16-46-4
Dimitrov G.[7]
Safranek V.
6-16-46-2
Federer R.[3]
Tiafoe F.
4-66-26-11-66-4
Youzhny M.
Kavcic B.
6-35-76-46-3
Lopez F.[31]
Kuznetsov A.
6-47-646-756-2
Kohlschreiber P.[33]
Smyczek T.
6-16-46-4
Giraldo S.
Millot V.
6-16-04-64-66-4
Jaziri M.
Monteiro T.
7-654-66-35-76-4
Millman J.
Kyrgios N.[14]
6-31-66-46-1
Bautista Agut R.[11]
Seppi A.
6-24-66-27-61
Brown D.
Bellucci T.
6-46-36-2
Menendez Maceiras A.
Kypson P.
6-47-696-1
del Potro J.[24]
Laaksonen H.
6-47-637-65
Mannarino A.[30]
Berankis R.
6-26-46-2
Fratangelo B.
Karlovic I.
7-626-43-67-64
Thiem D.[6]
De Minaur A.
6-46-16-1
Querrey S.[17]
Simon G.
6-46-36-4
Sela D.
Eubanks C.
6-26-46-2
Albot R.
Escobedo E.
7-54-66-26-4
Lu Y.
Khachanov K.[25]
4-66-26-36-3
Zverev M.[23]
Kwiatkowski T.
7-654-64-67-56-3
Chung H.
Zeballos H.
3-67-686-46-3
Isner J.[10]
Herbert P.
6-16-34-66-3
Thompson J.
Sock J.[13]
6-27-6121-65-76-4
Lorenzi P.
Sousa J.
4-66-37-646-2
Muller G.[19]
Tomic B.
3-66-36-46-4
Gulbis E.
Giannessi A.
6-46-736-27-5
Coric B.
Vesely J.
7-657-626-2
Zverev A.[4]
King D.
7-697-56-4
Shapovalov D.
Medvedev D.
7-56-16-2
Edmund K.
Haase R.[32]
6-37-56-3
Ramos A.[20]
Istomin D.
4-67-647-56-737-5
Mahut N.
Fucsovics M.
6-32-66-42-67-63
Carreno Busta P.[12]
King E.
6-36-27-65
Pouille L.[16]
Bemelmans R.
6-36-46-4
Donaldson J.
Basilashvili N.
6-04-66-37-66
Kukushkin M.
Ferrer D.[21]
4-66-36-26-1
Schwartzman D.[29]
Berlocq C.
6-26-16-3
Tipsarevic J.
Kokkinakis T.
6-753-66-17-626-3
Mayer F.
Dutra Silva R.
7-50-66-36-4
Cilic M.[5]
Sandgren T.
6-46-33-66-3
Norrie C.
Tursunov D.
7-676-1
Donskoy E.
Haider Maurer A.
7-635-1
Nadal R.[1]
Lajovic D.
7-666-26-2
Dolgopolov A.
Struff J.
3-66-36-21-66-3
Fritz T.
Baghdatis M.
6-46-46-3
Paire B.
Lacko L.
6-36-27-65
Fabbiano T.
Smith J.
7-656-43-67-64
Anderson K.[28]
Aragone J.
6-36-36-1
Tsonga J.[8]
Copil M.
6-36-36-4
Johnson S.
Almagro N.
6-47-627-65