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M15 Tanagura 2026: Schedule, Results & Stats

ITF M15 · SinglesITF M15HardJapan
M15 Tanagura 2026
18–22 October 202618–22 Oct 2026In progress · Day 3
Round of 16

Draw 32 · Hard · UTC+9

Draw 32 · Hard

What is happening now and who is likely to win

Projected champions

Chance to win the tournament · after R32 · 16 players left
Chance to winAll 12 →
Distribution of title chances · after R32 · 16 players leftOthers 52%
Distribution of title chances
Umpiry title projection from player Elo, surface Elo and the remaining draw · updates as results come in · not a guarantee. Methodology

Tournament strength

How it works →How →
Field rating19/ 100/100Stronger than 59% of ITF M15 fields this season
Top 50 playersTop 500
Top 100 playersTop 1000 of 30
Average EloAvg Elo1 553

Draw outlook

Path difficulty
Open draw →Draw →
Player◀ Tougher path◀ TougherEasier path ▶Easier ▶

Title-chance points gained (green) or lost (amber) because of the projected opponents on the way to the final, vs an average draw. Based on projected opponents and current player strength, not on opinion.Title-chance points gained (green) or lost (amber) because of projected opponents, vs an average draw. How it works

History & context

About the tournament

M15 Tanagura is a men's ITF tournament held in Japan. The 2026 edition takes place 18–22 October 2026 on hard courts. The singles draw features 32 players competing from the round of 32 through to the final. This page provides the full schedule, live scores and complete results for the current edition, with each match linking to detailed head-to-head records, recent form and pre-match analysis.

Hard courts give a true, medium-paced bounce that suits all-court tennis and rewards clean, consistent ball-striking.

More on Umpiry · discovery

Frequently asked · M15 Tanagura 2026Frequently asked

Who is the favourite to win M15 Tanagura 2026?

Based on Umpiry's Title chances projection, Hikaru Shiraishi currently has the highest probability of winning at 14%, followed by Takuya Kumasaka (12%) and Jumpei Yamasaki (11%). The probabilities are calculated by simulating the remaining draw and update after every match.

Who does Umpiry project to win M15 Tanagura 2026?

Hikaru Shiraishi is the most likely champion (14%) in Umpiry's Monte Carlo simulation of the remaining M15 Tanagura draw. The Draw tab shows their most likely route to the title — their projected opponent in each round — and updates after every result.

What surface is M15 Tanagura played on?

M15 Tanagura is played on hard.

What category is M15 Tanagura?

M15 Tanagura is part of the ITF.