H. Kawanishi vs Y. Tanaka | M15 Tanagura Round of 16

UMPIRY

M15 TanaguraR16HardThu 22 Oct

H. KawanishiJPN24%

VSClear favourite · Tanaka Y.

Y. TanakaJPN76%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Tanaka Y.

24%76%

Clear edge for Tanaka Y. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

ELO1 495

Hard ELO1 495

Last 101–3

ELO1 549

Hard ELO1 539

Last 108–2

H. Kawanishi faces Y. Tanaka in the M15 Tanagura round of 16 on hard.

Key context

Last match: Y. Tanaka dropped the opening set before beating Kokoro Isomura 4–6 6–3 6–0.
Last match: H. Kawanishi handed James Connel a second-set bagel in a 6–2 6–0 win.
Fatigue load: Y. Tanaka carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kawanishi H.Tanaka Y.

FormLast 4 vs 10 matches · 2026

Win–loss1–38–2

Season win rate50% (1–1)69% (9–4)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO14951549

Hard-court ELO14951539

Draw

Odds

Conditions

SurfaceHard

Forecast15°C · Mainly clear

Wind14 km/h

Humidity63%

Cite this

Umpiry, "H. Kawanishi vs Y. Tanaka — M15 Tanagura Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/kawanishi-vs-tanaka-m15-tanagura-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).