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Hikaru Shiraishi vs H. Hashimoto — M15 Tanagura Round of 16

M15 TanaguraR16HardThu 22 Oct · 10:00
Hikaru Shiraishi(1)ATP #592 · JPN83%
VSStrong favourite · Shiraishi H.
H. HashimotoUSA17%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Shiraishi H.
83%17%

Clear edge for Shiraishi H. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Shiraishi H.4.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Hashimoto H.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form2 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 639
Hard ELO1 617
Last 104–6
Age26
ELO1 522
Hard ELO1 516
Last 105–5
Age23

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Shiraishi H.Hashimoto H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate43% (12–16)50% (6–6) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1639 (ahead)1522
Hard-court ELO1617 (ahead)1516
Serve vs returnLast 21 vs 6 matches
1st-serve points won68%72% (ahead)
Return points won36%42% (ahead)
Aces / match2.03.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 21 vs 6 matches
Break points saved58%71% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast16°C · Mainly clear
Wind16 km/h
Humidity60%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hikaru Shiraishi vs H. Hashimoto — M15 Tanagura Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/hashimoto-vs-shiraishi-m15-tanagura-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).