UMPIRY
EN

O. Brown vs Toshiki Karigyo — M15 Tanagura Round of 16

M15 TanaguraR16HardThu 22 Oct
O. BrownGBR60%
VSSlight edge · Brown O.
Toshiki KarigyoJPN40%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Brown O.
60%40%

Brown O. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

ELO1 535
Hard ELO1 537
Last 107–3
Age24
ELO1 526
Hard ELO1 521
Last 108–2
Age24

O. Brown faces Toshiki Karigyo in the M15 Tanagura round of 16 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Surface form: O. Brown 7 of 10, Toshiki Karigyo 8 of 10 on hard recently — Toshiki Karigyo the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Brown O.Karigyo T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–38–2 (ahead)
Season win rate61% (14–9)100% (6–0) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1535 (ahead)1526
Hard-court ELO1537 (ahead)1521
Serve vs returnLast 16 vs 2 matches
1st-serve points won64%68% (ahead)
Return points won46% (ahead)43%
Aces / match1.8 (ahead)1.0
ClutchLast 16 vs 2 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

SurfaceHard
Forecast15°C · Mainly clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity63%

Cite this

Umpiry, "O. Brown vs Toshiki Karigyo — M15 Tanagura Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/brown-vs-karigyo-m15-tanagura-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).