Jan Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64
Why
Surface+25 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Struff J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1694Against the prediction · Struff J.
Long matches4 three-setters in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 996
Hard ELO1 785
Last 107–3
Age36
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $13.6M2026 $1.2M
ELO1 973
Hard ELO1 876
Last 107–3
Age21
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $801K2026 $549K
Jan Lennard Struff faces Arthur Gea in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 64 on hard. Jan Lennard Struff holds the paper edge — ranked #39, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Jan Lennard Struff comes in with 2 days of rest and 236 games in 14d, vs Arthur Gea's 18 and 0.
- Serve & return: Jan Lennard Struff leads on Serve Rating (39), Arthur Gea on Return Rating (63).
- Surface form: Both 7 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
5 shared · last 12 monthsStruff J. and Gea A. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Struff J. went 2–4 (33%) against them, Gea A. 4–1 (80%). Gea A. came out clearly better against 3 of 5 comparable opponents, Struff J. against 1.
2–433%Struff J. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents4–180%Gea A. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
8–12Sets10–4
96–111Games84–61
2–2Tiebreaks2–3
1–2Deciding sets2–1
vs Lehecka J.#15L6-7 3-6Rome Masters · clayW7-5 7-6 7-5Australian Open · hard
vs Cerundolo F.#20L7-5 5-7 6-4 2-6 3-6US Open · hardW6-7(11) 6-4 6-0Los Cabos · hard
vs Hurkacz H.#29W3-6 6-7 7-6 7-5 4-2Wimbledon · grassL6-7(5) 7-6(5) 2-6Beijing · hard
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vs Faria J.#57L5-7 2-6Roland Garros · clayW6-7(3) 6-1 6-2Shanghai Masters · hard- vs Burruchaga R.#76W7-6 2-6 6-3Cincinnati · hardW6-2 6-3Australian Open · hard
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Struff J.Gea A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate50% (26–26)72% (49–19) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1996 (ahead)1973
Hard-court ELO17851876 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 61 matches
1st-serve points won76% (ahead)75%
Return points won34%39% (ahead)
Aces / match11.0 (ahead)6.6
ClutchLast 46 vs 61 matches
Break points saved65%65%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Jan Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/gea-vs-struff-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).