UMPIRY
EN

Elena Pridankina vs Paula Badosa — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong KongR32HardTue 3 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Badosa P.
35%65%

Badosa P. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Pridankina E.4.9/10
Heavy underdog
Badosa P.6.9/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+248 Hard Elo edgeSupports Badosa P.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1780Supports Badosa P.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 769
Hard ELO1 649
Last 105–5
Age21
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $625K2026 $297K
ELO1 934
Hard ELO1 830
Last 106–4
Age28
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $10.1M2026 $788K

Elena Pridankina faces Paula Badosa in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. Paula Badosa holds the paper edge — ranked #61, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Pridankina E. and Badosa P. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Pridankina E. went 1–4 (20%) against them, Badosa P. 5–1 (83%). Badosa P. came out clearly better against 3 of 5 comparable opponents, Pridankina E. against 0.

1–420%Pridankina E. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents5–183%Badosa P. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
3–9Sets10–2
46–69Games71–42
1–1Tiebreaks1–1
1–1Deciding sets0–0
Show 2 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Pridankina E.Badosa P.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (32–24)58% (29–21) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17691934 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16491830 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 50 matches
1st-serve points won62%68% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)45%
Aces / match1.74.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 56 vs 50 matches
Break points saved54%56% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast25°C · Drizzle
Wind20 km/h
Humidity79%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Pridankina E.Badosa P.
1Days since last match2 — fresher
2 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
42 — fresherGames · 7 days61
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
60 — fresherGames · 14 days89
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elena Pridankina vs Paula Badosa — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/badosa-vs-pridankina-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).