Suzan Lamens vs Paula Badosa — Berlin Round of 32

Berlin · WTA · Round of 32

NED

Suzan Lamens

#125WTA

1588ELO

1493Grass ELO

26 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLWWLWLL

—

Sets

Tuesday, 16 June 2026 · 17:00

grass

ESP

Paula Badosa

#141WTA

1770ELO

1635Grass ELO

28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLLLWWLWL

Lamens S.

Badosa P.

Suzan Lamens faces Paula Badosa in the Berlin round of 32 on grass.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC

Lamens S.21%

Badosa P.79%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Badosa P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Under pressure: In the tight moments, Paula Badosa has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 91 vs 44).
Freshness: Suzan Lamens comes in with 5 days of rest and 33 games in 14d, vs Paula Badosa's 7 and 20.
Last match: Suzan Lamens dropped just 4 games past Tessa Johanna Brockmann.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Lamens S.

4.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Badosa P.

6.7

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.2Grass Elo 1493

Surface ELO

6.8+142 Grass Elo edge

3.3Overall Elo 1588

ELO gap

6.7Overall Elo 1770

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.55 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

5.26 of last 10 on grass

Win streak

0.0Lost last 5

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

7.0Reached the quarters here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.