Carol Young Suh Lee vs Maria Sakkari

UMPIRY

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong KongR32HardMon 2 Nov · ~15:30Centre Court · After 1 match

Carol Young Suh LeeWTA #156 · POC33%

VSClear favourite · Sakkari M.

Maria Sakkari(4)WTA #30 · GRE67%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Sakkari M.

33%67%

Clear edge for Sakkari M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Lee C.3.9/10

Heavy underdog

Sakkari M.7.0/10

Strong advantage

Why

Surface+250 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sakkari M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1812Supports Sakkari M.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 731

Hard ELO1 703

Last 105–5

Age24

EarningsCareer $227K2026 $174K

ELO1 933

Hard ELO1 811

Last 106–4

Age31

EarningsCareer $15.3M2026 $1.6M

Carol Young Suh Lee faces Maria Sakkari in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. Maria Sakkari holds the paper edge — ranked #30, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Carol Young Suh Lee 99 games in 14 days, Maria Sakkari 26.
Surface form: Carol Young Suh Lee 5 of 10, Maria Sakkari 6 of 10 on hard recently — Maria Sakkari the sharper of late.

Common opponents

4 shared · last 12 months

Lee C. and Sakkari M. faced 4 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Lee C. went 0–4 (0%) against them, Sakkari M. 3–1 (75%). Sakkari M. came out better against 3 of 3 comparable opponents, Lee C. against 0.

0–40%Lee C. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents3–175%Sakkari M. · better vs 3

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

2–8Sets6–2

36–59Games45–29

1–0Tiebreaks1–0

0–2Deciding sets0–0

Only 4 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

vs Korneeva A.#79L1-6 2-6Les Sables D'Olonne 125 · hardW6-1 7-5Athens · hard
vs Kudermetova P.#91L4-6 7-6 4-6Cincinnati · hardW6-0 7-6Athens · hard
vs Fruhvirtova L.#153L7-5 2-6 4-6Australian Open · hardW6-4 6-1Singapore · hard

Show 1 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Badosa P.#61Hard to compareL1-6 4-6Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · hardL3-6 4-6Charleston · clay

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Lee C.Sakkari M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–56–4

Season win rate60% (38–25)54% (26–22)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17311933

Hard-court ELO17031811

Serve vs returnLast 62 vs 48 matches

1st-serve points won65%64%

Return points won43%43%

Aces / match2.92.9

ClutchLast 62 vs 48 matches

Break points saved60%58%

When it starts

Centre Court · After 1 match · Followed by

1Golubic V. v Boulter K.Starting at 2:00 PM
2This match: Lee C. v Sakkari M.This match
3Williams V. v Stoiana M.Not before 6:30 PM
4Wang X. v Karunaratne A.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Centre Court · ~15:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast29°C · Mainly clear

Wind12 km/h

Humidity59%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Lee C.Sakkari M.

0Days since last match5

4Matches · 7 days1

65Games · 7 days26

5Matches · 14 days1

99Games · 14 days26

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Carol Young Suh Lee vs Maria Sakkari — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/lee-vs-sakkari-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).