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Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisR64HardMon 2 Nov · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
52%48%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Darderi L.5.9/10
Even match
Hijikata R.4.8/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+15 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Hijikata R.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1834Supports Darderi L.
Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Hijikata R.
Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on hardAgainst the prediction · Hijikata R.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Darderi L.
ELO1 974
Hard ELO1 711
Last 105–5
Age24
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.2M2026 $1.8M
ELO1 893
Hard ELO1 767
Last 104–6
Age25
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.4M2026 $815K

Luciano Darderi faces Rinky Hijikata in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 64 on hard. Luciano Darderi holds the paper edge — ranked #23. Recent hard form is closely matched. They have met 4 times, the series level at 2–2, Rinky Hijikata ahead 2–1 on hard.

Key context

Common opponents

8 shared · last 12 months
All 8 opponents →

Darderi L. and Hijikata R. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Darderi L. went 6–5 (55%) against them, Hijikata R. 4–4 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 2 better-results split).

6–555%Darderi L. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents4–450%Hijikata R. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
15–12Sets10–9
124–123Games94–91
0–1Tiebreaks2–0
2–1Deciding sets0–1
Show 5 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

4 meetings · level 2–2
Full H2H →
22

Hard: Hijikata R. leads 2–1 · Clay: Darderi L. leads 1–0

Evidence

Darderi L.Hijikata R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate57% (37–28) (ahead)54% (38–32)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1974 (ahead)1893
Hard-court ELO17111767 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 61 matches each
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)70%
Return points won37% (ahead)36%
Aces / match6.0 (ahead)4.8
ClutchLast 61 matches each
Break points saved61% (ahead)60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast10°C · Overcast
Wind8 km/h
Humidity77%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Darderi L.Hijikata R.
3 — fresherDays since last match1
2 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
34 — fresherGames · 7 days68
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
59 — fresherGames · 14 days111
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/darderi-vs-hijikata-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).