Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina — US Open Round of 64
Darderi L.
Luciano Darderi faces Dalibor Svrcina in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Luciano Darderi is the paper favourite — ranked #22, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage — but Dalibor Svrcina has won their only previous meeting. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Darderi L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Luciano Darderi comes in with 2 days of rest and 76 games in 14d, vs Dalibor Svrcina's 2 and 121.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Luciano Darderi has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 67 vs 29).
- Head-to-head: Dalibor Svrcina leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Los Cabos 2026.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDarderi L.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d) · Svrcina D.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 102 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Los Cabos | R16 | hard | Dalibor Svrcina | 3-0 |