Kaitlin Quevedo vs Paula Badosa — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32
Why
Surface+93 Hard Elo edgeSupports Badosa P.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1780Supports Badosa P.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Quevedo K.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 828
Hard ELO1 674
Last 108–2
Age20
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $433K2026 $308K
ELO1 934
Hard ELO1 830
Last 106–4
Age28
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $10.1M2026 $788K
Kaitlin Quevedo faces Paula Badosa in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. Paula Badosa is the paper favourite — ranked #61, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage — but Kaitlin Quevedo arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Paula Badosa's 6 of 10.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Paula Badosa has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 87 vs 54).
- Freshness: Kaitlin Quevedo comes in with 1 days of rest and 111 games in 14d, vs Paula Badosa's 2 and 89.
- Surface form: Kaitlin Quevedo 8 of 10, Paula Badosa 6 of 10 on hard recently — Kaitlin Quevedo the sharper of late.
Common opponents
6 shared · last 12 monthsQuevedo K. and Badosa P. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Quevedo K. went 2–4 (33%) against them, Badosa P. 2–5 (29%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).
2–433%Quevedo K. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents2–529%Badosa P. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
3–10Sets5–10
50–70Games71–81
0–1Tiebreaks2–2
1–0Deciding sets1–1
vs Svitolina E.#6L0-6 4-6Roland Garros · clayL4-6 0-0Dubai · hard
vs Tagger L.#53L2-6 0-6Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · hardL4-6 6-7Linz · hard- vs Kalinina A.#55L5-7 4-6Hamburg · clayW6-3 6-1Iasi · clay
Show 3 more ▾Show less ▴
vs Sherif M.#56L3-6 6-7(2)Iasi · clayL4-6 0-4Iasi · clay
vs Podoroska N.#201W4-6 6-4 6-2Sao Paulo · hardL3-6 4-6Sao Paulo · hard
vs Zidansek T.#141Hard to compareW4-6 6-2BJK Cup Qualifiers · hardW3-6 7-5 7-6(1)Iasi · clay
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Quevedo K.Badosa P.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate67% (42–21) (ahead)58% (29–21)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18281934 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16741830 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 60 vs 50 matches
1st-serve points won64%68% (ahead)
Return points won45%45%
Aces / match2.84.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 60 vs 50 matches
Break points saved58% (ahead)56%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Kaitlin Quevedo vs Paula Badosa — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/badosa-vs-quevedo-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).