Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa — Iasi Final

Iasi · WTA · Final
Mayar Sherif
EGY
Mayar Sherif
#97WTA
1685ELO
1663Clay ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWL
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
Paula Badosa
ESP
Paula Badosa
#115WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWL
Sherif M.
6-4 4-0
Badosa P.
Sherif M.
641
Badosa P.
400

Mayar Sherif won the final of the Iasi clay court tournament against Paula Badosa. Sherif was leading 6-4, 4-0 when Badosa retired from the match. Sherif converted 71% of her break points and won 58% of her first-serve points in the contest.

Around the match

  • Badosa has shown resilience through two three-set matches without obvious physical issues, a positive sign given her injury struggles in 2026.

    Badosa P.Last Word On Sports ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-03CharlestonR64clayPaula Badosa6-3 6-1

Statistics

This season
Sherif M.Badosa P.
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
39%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.9
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
7.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sherif M.Badosa P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
87
Break points saved·Dominant
21
76
Break points won·Dominant
16
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Sherif M.36%
Badosa P.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Badosa P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sherif M.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Badosa P.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1663
Surface ELO
5.3+22 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1780
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
10.010 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
9.49 of last 10 on clay
10.09-match win streak
Win streak
10.09-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sherif M.Badosa P.
Freshness·Even
54
50

Sherif M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d) · Badosa P.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw