Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anhelina KalininaHamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · WTA · Round of 32
#100WTA
1757ELO
1714Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWLW
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#59WTA
1827ELO
1806Clay ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLLWW
Quevedo K.
vs
Kalinina A.

Kaitlin Quevedo faces Anhelina Kalinina in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. Anhelina Kalinina is the paper favourite — ranked #59, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage — but Kaitlin Quevedo arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay to Anhelina Kalinina's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Quevedo K.43%
Kalinina A.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1714
Surface ELO
6.1+92 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1827
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.87 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

24 vs 37 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
1.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Quevedo K.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kalinina A.

Kalinina A.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Quevedo K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
54
40
Break points saved·Clear edge
30
6
Break points won·Slight edge
77
86
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
82
Tiebreaks·
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
95

Quevedo K.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Kalinina A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw