Kaitlin Quevedo vs N. PodoroskaSao Paulo Final

Sao Paulo · WTA · Final
#90WTA
1757ELO
1655Hard ELO
$308kYTD
$433kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 ·
hard
#449WTA
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
Quevedo K.
4-6 6-4 6-2
Podoroska N.
Quevedo K.
4662
Podoroska N.
6421

Kaitlin Quevedo won the final of the Sao Paulo hard court tournament, defeating N. Podoroska 4-6, 6-4, 6-2. The match saw Quevedo record no aces to Podoroska's three, and both players made five double faults. Quevedo converted 67 percent of her break points, while Podoroska converted 50 percent; Quevedo secured two service breaks to Podoroska's three.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Quevedo K.9/15
Podoroska N.5/15

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Quevedo K.58%
Podoroska N.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Quevedo K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
51
52

Quevedo K.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 104 games (7d) · Podoroska N.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 117 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw