UMPIRY
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Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 16

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouR16HardWed 28 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Quevedo K.
39%61%

Quevedo K. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bondar A.5.9/10
Even match
Quevedo K.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
SurfaceHard Elo 1654Informative
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1757Supports Quevedo K.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Bondar A.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 812
Hard ELO1 645
Last 105–5
Age29
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.6M2026 $1.0M
ELO1 814
Hard ELO1 658
Last 108–2
Age20
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $433K2026 $308K

Anna Bondar faces Kaitlin Quevedo in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 16 on hard. Anna Bondar is the paper favourite — ranked #76, leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Kaitlin Quevedo arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Anna Bondar's 5 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Bondar A. and Quevedo K. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Bondar A. went 4–5 (44%) against them, Quevedo K. 3–4 (43%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 1 better-results split).

4–544%Bondar A. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents3–443%Quevedo K. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
12–10Sets5–10
109–107Games61–75
1–1Tiebreaks0–0
1–3Deciding sets1–0
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Head-to-head

1 meeting · Bondar A. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Bondar A.Quevedo K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–58–2 (ahead)
Season win rate52% (32–29)67% (40–20) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18121814 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16451658 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 60 vs 57 matches
1st-serve points won64%64%
Return points won42%45% (ahead)
Aces / match3.7 (ahead)2.6
ClutchLast 60 vs 57 matches
Break points saved60% (ahead)57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast27°C · Clear
Wind9 km/h
Humidity49%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Bondar A.Quevedo K.
1Days since last match8 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
18Games · 7 days0 — fresher
2Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
37Games · 14 days21 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/bondar-vs-quevedo-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).