Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna BondarToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#54WTA
1827ELO
1743Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLLLWLW
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#77WTA
1735ELO
1654Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWLW
Kalinina A.
vs
Bondar A.

Anhelina Kalinina faces Anna Bondar in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Anhelina Kalinina holds the paper edge — ranked #54, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Kalinina A.60%
Bondar A.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kalinina A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
12 common opponents · Kalinina A. 12–4 · Bondar A. 6–8
Kalinina A. better · same surface, 27 days apart · ⚠ lower-tier event
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+89 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1654
6.2Overall Elo 1827
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1734
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.73 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

46 vs 37 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
41%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kalinina A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Bondar A.

Bondar A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kalinina A.

Serve advantage — Kalinina A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
40
0
Break points saved·Clear edge
6
23
Break points won·Dominant
89
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
7
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
7
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
90
67

Kalinina A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bondar A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-21RabatQFclayAnhelina Kalinina6-4 7-5
2022-06-27WimbledonR128grassAnhelina Kalinina4-6 6-2 6-4

Draw