UMPIRY
EN

Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline Uebelhoer — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32

Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - CourmayeurR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00 UTC
Elsa JacquemotWTA #135 · FRA72%
VSClear favourite · Jacquemot E.
Caroline UebelhoerWTA #262 · GER28%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Jacquemot E.
72%28%

Clear edge for Jacquemot E. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Jacquemot E.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Uebelhoer C.5.0/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+227 Hard Elo edgeSupports Jacquemot E.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1611Supports Jacquemot E.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 730
Hard ELO1 636
Last 105–5
Age23
EarningsCareer $2.5M2026 $857K
ELO1 649
Hard ELO1 546
Last 105–5
Age30
EarningsCareer $196K2026 $85K

Elsa Jacquemot faces Caroline Uebelhoer in the Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur round of 32 on hard. Elsa Jacquemot holds the paper edge — ranked #135, a roughly 230-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Elsa Jacquemot comes in with 13 days of rest and 42 games in 14d, vs Caroline Uebelhoer's 14 and 22.
  • Surface form: Both 5 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Jacquemot E. and Uebelhoer C. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Jacquemot E. went 2–1 (67%) against them, Uebelhoer C. 1–2 (33%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 1 better-results split).

2–167%Jacquemot E. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents1–233%Uebelhoer C. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
4–3Sets3–5
41–40Games36–37
1–1Tiebreaks0–0
1–0Deciding sets1–1

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jacquemot E.Uebelhoer C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–55–5
Season win rate35% (17–32)46% (22–26) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1730 (ahead)1649
Hard-court ELO1636 (ahead)1546
Serve vs returnLast 49 vs 46 matches
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)60%
Return points won42%46% (ahead)
Aces / match4.0 (ahead)1.7
ClutchLast 49 vs 46 matches
Break points saved51%54% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Jacquemot E.Uebelhoer C.
13Days since last match14 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
2Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
42Games · 14 days22 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline Uebelhoer — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/jacquemot-vs-uebelhoer-valle-d-aosta-ladies-open-courmayeur-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).