Caroline Uebelhoer vs Darja VidmanovaMonterrey Qualifying Round of 16

Monterrey · WTA · Qualifying Round of 16
#282WTA
1432ELO
1354Hard ELO
30 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
hard
CANCHA 4 · 1st on
#90WTA
1675ELO
1665Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWW
Uebelhoer C.
5-7 4-6
Vidmanova D.
Uebelhoer C.
540
Vidmanova D.
762

Darja Vidmanova defeated Caroline Uebelhoer 7-5, 6-4 in the Monterrey hard-court qualifying round of 16. Vidmanova hit 10 aces to Uebelhoer's one and converted 57% of her break points, compared to Uebelhoer's 40%. Vidmanova won four service breaks to Uebelhoer's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Uebelhoer C.27%
Vidmanova D.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vidmanova D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.1Hard Elo 1354
Surface ELO
8.9+311 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1432
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.18 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
50

Uebelhoer C.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Vidmanova D.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 125 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw