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Diane Parry vs Cristina Bucsa — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 32

Toray Pan Pacific Open - TokyoR32HardTue 27 Oct · 02:00 UTC
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
55%45%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Parry D.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Bucsa C.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+57 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Bucsa C.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1747Supports Parry D.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Parry D.
Recent runLost last 5Both players
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
ELO1 873
Hard ELO1 688
Last 105–5
Age24
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.5M2026 $1.2M
ELO1 814
Hard ELO1 724
Last 104–6
Age28
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.6M2026 $1.5M

Diane Parry faces Cristina Bucsa in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo round of 32 on hard. Diane Parry holds the paper edge — ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Parry D. and Bucsa C. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Parry D. went 5–3 (63%) against them, Bucsa C. 3–5 (38%). Parry D. came out better against 2 of 7 comparable opponents, Bucsa C. against 0 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (lower-tier event).

5–363%Parry D. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents3–538%Bucsa C. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
10–9Sets7–10
84–82Games69–84
0–1Tiebreaks0–1
3–0Deciding sets1–0
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Head-to-head

1 meeting · Parry D. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Parry D.Bucsa C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate56% (31–24) (ahead)39% (14–22)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1873 (ahead)1814
Hard-court ELO16881724 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 55 vs 33 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)61%
Return points won41%44% (ahead)
Aces / match4.1 (ahead)1.1
ClutchLast 55 vs 33 matches
Break points saved58% (ahead)47%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Parry D.Bucsa C.
6 — fresherDays since last match5
1Matches · 7 days1
16 — fresherGames · 7 days21
2Matches · 14 days2
33 — fresherGames · 14 days52
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Diane Parry vs Cristina Bucsa — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/bucsa-vs-parry-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).