Elise Mertens vs Diane ParryCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#22WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
#66WTA
1747ELO
1653Hard ELO
$515kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
23 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWL
Mertens E.
6-2 2-6 2-6
Parry D.
Mertens E.
6221
Parry D.
2662

Diane Parry defeated Elise Mertens in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 in favor of Parry. Parry converted 5 service breaks to 3 for Mertens, and had a first-serve win percentage of 75 compared to 54 for Mertens.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayElise Mertens6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
69
41
Break points saved·Clear edge
65
45
Break points won·Dominant
97
21
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
71
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Mertens E.71%
Parry D.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mertens E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+195 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1653
6.8Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1747
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
67

Mertens E.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Parry D.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw