UMPIRY
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Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone — Basel Round of 64

BaselR64HardMon 26 Oct · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Vacherot V.
64%36%

Vacherot V. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Vacherot V.6.7/10
Slight advantage
Navone M.5.3/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+159 Hard Elo edgeSupports Vacherot V.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1903Supports Vacherot V.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardAgainst the prediction · Navone M.
This eventReached the R32 here last yearSupports Vacherot V.
ELO2 004
Hard ELO1 843
Last 105–5
Age27
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.7M2026 $1.1M
ELO1 943
Hard ELO1 631
Last 104–6
Age25
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.7M2026 $1.3M

Valentin Vacherot faces Mariano Navone in the Basel round of 64 on hard. Valentin Vacherot holds the paper edge — ranked #32, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Key context

Common opponents

9 shared · last 12 months

Vacherot V. and Navone M. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Vacherot V. went 6–4 (60%) against them, Navone M. 6–4 (60%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 1 better-results split).

6–460%Vacherot V. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents6–460%Navone M. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
14–11Sets13–10
133–130Games120–118
4–1Tiebreaks5–2
3–2Deciding sets1–0
Show 6 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Vacherot V.Navone M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate56% (23–18) (ahead)54% (29–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2004 (ahead)1943
Hard-court ELO1843 (ahead)1631
Serve vs returnLast 38 vs 54 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)66%
Return points won34%40% (ahead)
Aces / match10.2 (ahead)1.9
ClutchLast 38 vs 54 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)58%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Overcast
Wind4 km/h
Humidity69%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Vacherot V.Navone M.
3Days since last match4 — fresher
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
28 — fresherGames · 7 days46
2Matches · 14 days2
46Games · 14 days46
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone — Basel Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/navone-vs-vacherot-basel-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).