Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 32
Moyuka Uchijima faces Elise Mertens in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo round of 32 on hard. Elise Mertens holds the paper edge — ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 210-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Elise Mertens has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 73 vs 15).
- Head-to-head: Elise Mertens leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at Australian Open 2026.
- Fatigue load: Moyuka Uchijima carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Live Win Probability
iServe flowUchijima M. broken once · Mertens E. unbroken.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Match momentum
Last 30 pointsUchijima M.Mertens E.Break of serve
Key moments
Latest first- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 9Uchijima M. held to love
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 6Mertens E. held to love
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 5Mertens E. broke serve
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 2Mertens E. held to love
Mertens E. came in with the higher hard rating (1847 vs 1659), the better recent record (5–5 vs 4–6) and the head-to-head lead (2–0).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playCommon opponents
6 shared · last 12 monthsUchijima M. and Mertens E. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Uchijima M. went 3–4 (43%) against them, Mertens E. 4–3 (57%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 3 better-results split).
vs Chwalinska M.#11W2-6 6-3 7-5Antalya 125 2 · clayL4-6 0-6Roland Garros · clay
vs Bucsa C.#38W6-3 6-4Toronto · hardW6-2 6-1Indian Wells · hard
vs Starodubtseva Y.#50L3-6 6-1 3-6Madrid · clayW6-1 6-4Monterrey · hard
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vs Tararudee L.#53L4-6 7-6(5) 2-6Korea Open - Seoul · hardW7-5 6-1Australian Open · hard
vs Kasatkina D.#74L6-4 3-6 0-6Doha · hardL4-6 0-6Doha · hard
vs Bondar A.#75L5-7 4-6Hamburg · clayW3-6 6-4 6-4Toronto · hard
Head-to-head
2 meetings · Mertens E. leads 2–0- Mertens E.January 2026Australian OpenHard6-3 6-1
- Mertens E.October 2022MonastirHard6-0 3-6 6-4
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/mertens-vs-uchijima-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).