Moyuka Uchijima vs Maja ChwalinskaAntalya 125 2 Quarter-final

Antalya 125 2 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#108WTA
1681ELO
1639Clay ELO
24 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 3 March 2026
clay
#21WTA
1833ELO
1801Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$2.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Uchijima M.
2-6 6-3 7-5
Chwalinska M.
Uchijima M.
2672
Chwalinska M.
6351

Moyuka Uchijima defeated Maja Chwalinska 2-6 6-3 7-5 in the Antalya 125 2 quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Maja Chwalinska came in ranked #21, defending last year's round of 32, but Moyuka Uchijima had arrived on a 7-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Uchijima M.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Chwalinska M.

Chwalinska M.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Uchijima M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
52%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
47%
50%
Break points saved·Even
50%
52%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
71
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
66
50
Break points won·Slight edge
91
98
Deciding sets·Even
78
80
Tiebreaks·
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1639
Surface ELO
5.0+162 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1833
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
5.8
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Chwalinska M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast