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Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert — Basel Round of 64

BaselR64HardMon 26 Oct · 11:00
VSClear favourite · Djokovic N.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Djokovic N.
75%25%

Clear edge for Djokovic N. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Djokovic N.7.2/10
Strong advantage
Humbert U.5.2/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+178 Hard Elo edgeSupports Djokovic N.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2059Supports Djokovic N.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
This eventReached the semis here last yearAgainst the prediction · Humbert U.
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Djokovic N.
ELO2 275
Hard ELO2 154
Last 106–4
Age39
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $194.7M2026 $3.0M
ELO1 942
Hard ELO1 850
Last 102–8
Age28
Height188 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $11.8M2026 $1.4M

Novak Djokovic faces Ugo Humbert in the Basel round of 64 on hard. Novak Djokovic holds the paper edge — ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 180-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Djokovic N. and Humbert U. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Djokovic N. went 1–3 (25%) against them, Humbert U. 1–2 (33%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

1–325%Djokovic N. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–233%Humbert U. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
5–9Sets2–4
65–72Games22–33
0–1Tiebreaks0–0
1–2Deciding sets0–0

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Djokovic N. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Djokovic N.Humbert U.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate72% (21–8) (ahead)53% (27–24)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2275 (ahead)1942
Hard-court ELO2154 (ahead)1850
Serve vs returnLast 28 vs 51 matches
1st-serve points won75%76% (ahead)
Return points won36% (ahead)35%
Aces / match8.0 (ahead)7.2
ClutchLast 28 vs 51 matches
Break points saved72% (ahead)67%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Overcast
Wind4 km/h
Humidity69%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Djokovic N.Humbert U.
16 — fresherDays since last match5
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days34
0 — fresherMatches · 14 days1
0 — fresherGames · 14 days34
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert — Basel Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/djokovic-vs-humbert-basel-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).