Jack Draper vs Novak DjokovicIndian Wells Masters Round of 16

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#131ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#8ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWLW
Draper J.
4-6 6-4 7-6
Djokovic N.
Draper J.
46772
Djokovic N.
64651

Jack Draper defeated Novak Djokovic 4-6 6-4 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Jack Draper claimed a first win over Novak Djokovic in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassNovak Djokovic4-6 6-1 6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draper J.Djokovic N.
Serve
68
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
58%
70%
Aces / match·Even
7.1
7.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
99
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
83
99
Deciding sets·Even
96
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 44 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
7.0+239 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 2059
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
8.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
5.9
Country comfort
7.3
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
40

Draper J.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Djokovic N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 139 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%