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Daria Snigur vs Anna Bondar — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouR32HardMon 26 Oct · 12:30
VSClear favourite · Snigur D.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Snigur D.
69%31%

Clear edge for Snigur D. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Snigur D.5.9/10
Even match
Bondar A.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+84 Hard Elo edgeSupports Snigur D.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1781Supports Snigur D.
Head-to-headTrails 0–1 on hardInformative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Bondar A.
Recent runLost last 3Both players
ELO1 885
Hard ELO1 752
Last 104–6
Age24
Height173 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $877K
ELO1 802
Hard ELO1 634
Last 104–6
Age29
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.6M2026 $1.0M

Daria Snigur faces Anna Bondar in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 32 on hard. Daria Snigur is the paper favourite — ranked #40, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage — but Anna Bondar has won their only previous meeting. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Daria Snigur comes in with 6 days of rest and 77 games in 14d, vs Anna Bondar's 9 and 35.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Daria Snigur has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 56 vs 0).
  • Head-to-head: Anna Bondar leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Prague 2020.

Common opponents

12 shared · last 12 months

Snigur D. and Bondar A. faced 12 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Snigur D. went 7–5 (58%) against them, Bondar A. 6–10 (38%). Snigur D. came out better against 3 of 11 comparable opponents, Bondar A. against 1 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).

7–558%Snigur D. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents6–1038%Bondar A. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
16–12Sets16–21
133–126Games180–179
0–1Tiebreaks2–4
2–2Deciding sets2–3
Show 9 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Bondar A. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Snigur D.Bondar A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–64–6
Season win rate71% (46–19) (ahead)52% (31–29)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1885 (ahead)1802
Hard-court ELO1752 (ahead)1634
Serve vs returnLast 65 vs 59 matches
1st-serve points won63%64% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)42%
Aces / match1.33.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 65 vs 59 matches
Break points saved56%60% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast31°C · Mainly clear
Wind7 km/h
Humidity42%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Snigur D.Bondar A.
6Days since last match9 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
25Games · 7 days0 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
77Games · 14 days35 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Daria Snigur vs Anna Bondar — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/bondar-vs-snigur-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).