Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Qualifying Round of 32

Ningbo Open - NingboQ32QualifyingHardSat 17 Oct · ~14:00Court 6 · After 2 matches
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
57%43%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Sasnovich A.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Bondar A.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+43 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sasnovich A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1734Against the prediction · Bondar A.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardSupports Sasnovich A.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 809
Hard ELO1 722
Last 106–4
Age32
Height174 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $6.8M2026 $379K
ELO1 810
Hard ELO1 640
Last 105–5
Age29
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.6M2026 $1.0M

Aliaksandra Sasnovich faces Anna Bondar in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo qualifying round of 32 on hard. Aliaksandra Sasnovich holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Sasnovich A. and Bondar A. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Sasnovich A. went 2–6 (25%) against them, Bondar A. 5–5 (50%). Bondar A. came out better against 3 of 7 comparable opponents, Sasnovich A. against 1.

2–625%Sasnovich A. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents5–550%Bondar A. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
5–12Sets11–12
72–86Games117–121
0–1Tiebreaks3–4
1–1Deciding sets1–2
Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Sasnovich A. leads 2–0
20

Evidence

Sasnovich A.Bondar A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate56% (32–25) (ahead)53% (31–28)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18091810 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1722 (ahead)1640
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 58 matches
1st-serve points won64%64%
Return points won46% (ahead)42%
Aces / match3.03.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 54 vs 58 matches
Break points saved58%60% (ahead)

When it starts

Court 6 · After 2 matches · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 6 · ~14:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast30°C · Clear
Wind13 km/h
Humidity51%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Sasnovich A.Bondar A.
7 — fresherDays since last match4
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
22 — fresherGames · 7 days56
4Matches · 14 days3 — fresher
72Games · 14 days56 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-17/bondar-vs-sasnovich-ningbo-open-ningbo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 17 October 2026).