Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva — Hamburg Quarter-final
Bondar A.
Anna Bondar faces Alina Charaeva in the Hamburg quarter-final on clay. Anna Bondar holds the paper edge — ranked #97, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Alina Charaeva has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 56 vs Anna Bondar's 0).
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Anna Bondar 82 games in 14 days, Alina Charaeva 59.
- Last match: Alina Charaeva dropped the opening set before beating Sinja Kraus 5–7 7–5 7–5.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBondar A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Charaeva A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.