Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Qualifying Round of 32

Ningbo Open - NingboQ32QualifyingHardSat 17 Oct · ~12:30Court 6 · After 1 match
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kudermetova P.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Sawangkaew M.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+11 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sawangkaew M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1727Against the prediction · Kudermetova P.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Kudermetova P.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 800
Hard ELO1 678
Last 104–6
Age23
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $426K
ELO1 842
Hard ELO1 715
Last 105–5
Age24
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $809K2026 $481K

Polina Kudermetova faces Mananchaya Sawangkaew in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo qualifying round of 32 on hard. Mananchaya Sawangkaew holds the paper edge — ranked #83. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Kudermetova P. and Sawangkaew M. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Kudermetova P. went 2–4 (33%) against them, Sawangkaew M. 3–2 (60%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

2–433%Kudermetova P. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents3–260%Sawangkaew M. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
3–8Sets6–5
39–52Games48–51
0–1Tiebreaks0–0
0–0Deciding sets1–0
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kudermetova P.Sawangkaew M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate63% (37–22)69% (50–22) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18001842 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16781715 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 68 matches
1st-serve points won66% (ahead)65%
Return points won46%46%
Aces / match2.9 (ahead)1.9
ClutchLast 58 vs 68 matches
Break points saved53%54% (ahead)

When it starts

Court 6 · After 1 match · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 6 · ~12:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast29°C · Clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity54%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Kudermetova P.Sawangkaew M.
6 — fresherDays since last match4
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
15 — fresherGames · 7 days79
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
62 — fresherGames · 14 days89
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-17/kudermetova-vs-sawangkaew-ningbo-open-ningbo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 17 October 2026).