Alexandra Korneeva vs Polina Kudermetova — Toronto Round of 128
Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
—
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
Korneeva A.
vs
Kudermetova P.
Alexandra Korneeva faces Polina Kudermetova in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTCKorneeva A.23%
Kudermetova P.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Kudermetova P. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Alexandra Korneeva 27 games in 14 days, Polina Kudermetova 130.
- Last match: Alexandra Korneeva dropped the opening set before beating Mary Stoiana 2–6 6–4 6–3.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 6 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 months1 common opponents · Korneeva A. 0–1 · Kudermetova P. 0–1 · small sample
Both lost · same surface, 5 days apart▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
7.15 of last 7 on hard
Surface form6.36 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
42 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
—
59%
1st serve points won·
—
66%
2nd serve points won·
—
45%
Service points won·
—
57%
Return points won·
—
47%
Break points saved·
—
55%
Aces / match·
—
2.8
Double faults / match·
—
4.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
79
57
Korneeva A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Kudermetova P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 81%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.