Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino — Almaty Quarter-final
Why
Surface+39 Hard Elo edgeSupports Mannarino A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1672Informative
Recent run4-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Basilashvili N.
Head-to-headLeads 3–1 on hardSupports Mannarino A.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Basilashvili N.
ELO1 859
Hard ELO1 739
Last 108–2
Age34
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.8M2026 $383K
ELO1 914
Hard ELO1 793
Last 107–3
Age38
Height180 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $15.6M2026 $1.3M
Nikoloz Basilashvili faces Adrian Mannarino in the Almaty quarter-final on hard. Adrian Mannarino is the paper favourite — ranked #79, leading the head-to-head 3–1, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage — but Nikoloz Basilashvili rides a 4-match win streak. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Nikoloz Basilashvili 81 games in 14 days, Adrian Mannarino 104.
- Last match: Nikoloz Basilashvili dropped just 6 games past Facundo Diaz Acosta.
- Head-to-head: Adrian Mannarino leads the head-to-head 3–1. Last met at Shanghai Masters 2026.
Common opponents
5 shared · last 12 monthsBasilashvili N. and Mannarino A. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Basilashvili N. went 3–2 (60%) against them, Mannarino A. 3–2 (60%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 2 better-results split).
3–260%Basilashvili N. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents3–260%Mannarino A. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
8–4Sets7–9
66–55Games71–83
1–1Tiebreaks2–1
0–2Deciding sets3–0
vs Rublev A.#22L6-3 6-7 2-6Rome Masters · clayW6-4 3-6 6-3Almaty · hard
vs Tirante T.#50L5-7 6-3 4-6Bastad · clayW4-6 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3US Open · hard
vs Kecmanovic M.#57W7-6(3) 6-4Chengdu · hardW7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(5)Beijing · hard
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vs Hijikata R.#86W6-3 6-2Rome Masters · clayL3-6 3-6 1-6Australian Open · hard
vs Sonego L.#89W6-4 6-4Halle · grassL1-6 6-7(5)Winston-Salem · hard
Head-to-head
4 meetings · Mannarino A. leads 3–113
- Mannarino A.October 2026Shanghai MastersHard6-3 2-2
- Mannarino A.September 2024Rennes CHHard7-6 3-6 6-3
- Mannarino A.November 2021Paris MastersHard6-2 6-4
- Basilashvili N.February 2017SofiaHard7-6 7-6
Evidence
Basilashvili N.Mannarino A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)7–3
Season win rate50% (30–30) (ahead)43% (23–31)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18591914 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17391793 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 50 vs 54 matches
1st-serve points won76% (ahead)71%
Return points won36% (ahead)35%
Aces / match7.2 (ahead)4.8
ClutchLast 50 vs 54 matches
Break points saved59% (ahead)57%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino — Almaty Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-23/basilashvili-vs-mannarino-almaty-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 23 October 2026).