Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 32
Why
Surface+64 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Bucsa C.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1727Supports Kudermetova P.
Recent run2-match win streakSupports Kudermetova P.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Kudermetova P.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Kudermetova P.
ELO1 822
Hard ELO1 733
Last 105–5
Age28
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.6M2026 $1.5M
ELO1 817
Hard ELO1 695
Last 105–5
Age23
Height172 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $426K
Cristina Bucsa faces Polina Kudermetova in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo round of 32 on hard. Cristina Bucsa is the paper favourite — ranked #38, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage — but Polina Kudermetova has won their only previous meeting. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Cristina Bucsa comes in with 6 days of rest and 31 games in 14d, vs Polina Kudermetova's 1 and 52.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Polina Kudermetova has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 51 vs 20).
- Last match: Polina Kudermetova dropped just 6 games past Anastasia Zakharova.
Common opponents
5 shared · last 12 monthsBucsa C. and Kudermetova P. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Bucsa C. went 4–2 (67%) against them, Kudermetova P. 3–2 (60%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).
4–267%Bucsa C. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents3–260%Kudermetova P. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
8–6Sets6–5
70–67Games64–53
2–1Tiebreaks1–3
2–0Deciding sets1–0
vs Svitolina E.#6L4-6 1-6Australian Open · hardL6-7(4) 4-6Washington · hard
vs Udvardy P.#80W6-2 1-6 7-5Cincinnati · hardL4-6 6-7Antalya 125 2 · clay
vs Sakatsume H.#115W7-6(6) 6-7(0) 7-6(6)US Open · hardW7-5 6-2Canberra 125 · hard
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- vs Uchijima M.#121L3-6 4-6Toronto · hardW7-6 6-2Antalya 125 3 · clay
vs Ma Y.#184W6-1 6-2Hong Kong · hardW6-7(2) 6-3 6-2Beijing · hard
Head-to-head
1 meeting · Kudermetova P. leads 1–001
- Kudermetova P.July 2026WashingtonHard7-5 6-7(4) 0-6
Evidence
Bucsa C.Kudermetova P.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–55–5
Season win rate40% (14–21)64% (39–22) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1822 (ahead)1817
Hard-court ELO1733 (ahead)1695
Serve vs returnLast 32 vs 60 matches
1st-serve points won61%66% (ahead)
Return points won44%46% (ahead)
Aces / match1.13.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 32 vs 60 matches
Break points saved47%54% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/bucsa-vs-kudermetova-ningbo-open-ningbo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).