Cristina Bucsa vs Polina KudermetovaWashington Round of 32

Washington · WTA · Round of 32
#42WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWWWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#111WTA
1727ELO
1646Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLWWWLW
Bucsa C.
vs
Kudermetova P.

Cristina Bucsa faces Polina Kudermetova in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Cristina Bucsa holds the paper edge — ranked #42, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Bucsa C.41%
Kudermetova P.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kudermetova P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Bucsa C. 3–6 · Kudermetova P. 2–4
Both lost · same surface, 0 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+64 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1646
4.9Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1727
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

14 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
44%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bucsa C.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Kudermetova P.

Kudermetova P.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
51
Break points saved·Dominant
10
77
Break points won·Dominant
53
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
17
29
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Kudermetova P.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 87%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw