Polina Kudermetova vs Himeno Sakatsume — Canberra 125 Semi-final

Canberra 125 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Polina Kudermetova
UZB
Polina Kudermetova
#113WTA
1727ELO
1646Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
JPN
Himeno Sakatsume
#123WTA
1611ELO
1599Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWW
Kudermetova P.
7-5 6-2
Sakatsume H.
Kudermetova P.
762
Sakatsume H.
52–

Polina Kudermetova defeated Himeno Sakatsume 7-5 6-2 in the Canberra 125 semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Polina Kudermetova came in ranked #113.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kudermetova P.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Sakatsume H.

Sakatsume H.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Kudermetova P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kudermetova P.Sakatsume H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kudermetova P.Sakatsume H.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
51
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
64
Break points won·Even
96
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
29
62
Tiebreaks·
—
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kudermetova P.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Sakatsume H.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.3+48 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1599
5.9Overall Elo 1727
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1611
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
8.5
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kudermetova P.Sakatsume H.
Freshness·Slight edge
93
100

Kudermetova P.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Sakatsume H.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Garland J.
Kudermetova P.
6-46-2
Semi-finals
Garland J.
Snigur D.
7-636-3
Kudermetova P.
Sakatsume H.
7-56-2
Quarter-finals
Garland J.
Zidansek T.
6-26-4
Kudermetova P.
Yuan Y.
6-16-0
Sakatsume H.
Gorgodze E.
3-66-26-0
Snigur D.
Waltert S.
6-26-4
R16
Garland J.
Iatcenko P.
3-3
Zidansek T.
Tararudee L.
7-652-66-3
Sakatsume H.
Sherif M.
6-33-66-3
Gorgodze E.
Uchijima M.
6-46-1
Waltert S.
Vidmanova D.
3-67-56-3
Snigur D.
Liang E.
6-46-2
Yuan Y.
Prozorova T.
6-46-3
Kudermetova P.
Radivojevic L.
6-37-61
R32
Liang E.
Stefanini L.
7-656-1
Zidansek T.
Bronzetti L.
6-26-746-3
Tararudee L.
Smith T.
6-26-2
Garland J.
Parry D.
5-76-46-2
Yuan Y.
Vandewinkel H.
6-36-4
Prozorova T.
Bartunkova N.
6-16-2
Sherif M.
Micic E.
6-43-67-5
Sakatsume H.
Kokkinis T.
7-56-2
Waltert S.
Salkova D.
6-727-606-2
Vidmanova D.
Stakusic M.
6-36-2
Snigur D.
Korpatsch T.
6-46-0
Iatcenko P.
Aiava D.
6-756-36-3
Radivojevic L.
Kostovic T.
6-46-4
Kudermetova P.
Korneeva A.
6-26-3
Gorgodze E.
Kalieva E.
6-26-727-63
Uchijima M.
Brengle M.
6-46-4