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Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis — Almaty Round of 32

AlmatyR32HardMon 19 Oct · 19:30CENTER COURT · After 3 matches
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Sakellaridis S.
29%71%

Clear edge for Sakellaridis S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kukushkin M.4.9/10
Heavy underdog
Sakellaridis S.5.0/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+40 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sakellaridis S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1630Supports Sakellaridis S.
Recent run2-match win streakSupports Sakellaridis S.
Surface switchGrass → HardSupports Sakellaridis S.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
ELO1 735
Hard ELO1 649
Last 103–7
Age38
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $7.6M2026 $48K
ELO1 774
Hard ELO1 675
Last 104–6
Age22
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $442K2026 $226K

Mikhail Kukushkin faces Stefanos Sakellaridis in the Almaty round of 32 on hard. Stefanos Sakellaridis holds the paper edge — ranked #135, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kukushkin M.Sakellaridis S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–74–6 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (22–18)64% (42–24) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17351774 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16491675 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 38 vs 63 matches
1st-serve points won69%73% (ahead)
Return points won40% (ahead)37%
Aces / match2.56.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 38 vs 63 matches
Break points saved58%61% (ahead)

When it starts

CENTER COURT · After 3 matches · Not before 19:30

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · 19:30 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast9°C · Clear
Wind1 km/h
Humidity54%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis — Almaty Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/kukushkin-vs-sakellaridis-almaty-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).