Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic — Almaty Round of 32
Why
Surface+50 Hard Elo edgeSupports Mannarino A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1673Supports Mannarino A.
Head-to-headSplit 2–2 on hardAgainst the prediction · Vukic A.
This eventReached the last 16 here last yearAgainst the prediction · Vukic A.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 898
Hard ELO1 777
Last 106–4
Age38
Height180 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $15.2M2026 $926K
ELO1 769
Hard ELO1 697
Last 104–6
Age30
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.1M2026 $576K
Adrian Mannarino faces Aleksandar Vukic in the Almaty round of 32 on hard. Adrian Mannarino holds the paper edge — ranked #83, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage. They have met 4 times, the series level at 2–2.
Key context
- Freshness: Adrian Mannarino comes in with 7 days of rest and 57 games in 14d, vs Aleksandar Vukic's 3 and 86.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Adrian Mannarino has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 59 vs 23).
- Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 2–2. Last met at Almaty 2024.
Common opponents
2 shared · last 12 monthsMannarino A. and Vukic A. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Mannarino A. went 1–1 (50%) against them, Vukic A. 0–2 (0%).
1–150%Mannarino A. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents0–20%Vukic A. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
4–4Sets0–5
37–35Games15–31
1–1Deciding sets0–0
Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.
vs Paul T.#17L2-6 6-2 4-6Miami Masters · hardL4-6 2-6Rome Masters · clay
vs Tirante T.#54W4-6 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3US Open · hardL5-7 2-6 2-6Australian Open · hard
Head-to-head
4 meetings · level 2–222
- Vukic A.October 2024AlmatyHard7-6 6-3
- Vukic A.August 2024Winston-SalemHard7-6 2-6 6-1
- Mannarino A.March 2020Monterrey CHHard6-1 6-3
- Mannarino A.January 2017Noumea CHHard6-1 6-2
Evidence
Mannarino A.Vukic A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate40% (21–31)44% (24–31) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1898 (ahead)1769
Hard-court ELO1777 (ahead)1697
Serve vs returnLast 52 vs 49 matches
1st-serve points won70%70%
Return points won35%35%
Aces / match4.66.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 52 vs 49 matches
Break points saved57%59% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic — Almaty Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/mannarino-vs-vukic-almaty-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).