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Jan Lennard Struff vs Marcos Giron — European Open - Brussels Round of 32

European Open - BrusselsR32HardMon 19 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
57%43%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Struff J.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Giron M.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+70 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Giron M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1718Against the prediction · Giron M.
Recent runLost last 6Informative
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 953
Hard ELO1 729
Last 104–6
Age36
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $13.6M2026 $1.2M
ELO1 832
Hard ELO1 694
Last 103–7
Age33
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $7.2M2026 $821K

Jan Lennard Struff faces Marcos Giron in the European Open - Brussels round of 32 on hard. Jan Lennard Struff holds the paper edge — ranked #59. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on hard.

Key context

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Struff J. and Giron M. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Struff J. went 5–1 (83%) against them, Giron M. 2–3 (40%). Struff J. came out better against 3 of 4 comparable opponents, Giron M. against 1 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).

5–183%Struff J. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents2–340%Giron M. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
13–9Sets6–7
113–115Games65–64
5–2Tiebreaks1–1
3–0Deciding sets1–2
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Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Struff J.Giron M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate44% (19–24)47% (23–26) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1953 (ahead)1832
Hard-court ELO1729 (ahead)1694
Serve vs returnLast 37 vs 49 matches
1st-serve points won75% (ahead)72%
Return points won34%36% (ahead)
Aces / match10.5 (ahead)5.2
ClutchLast 37 vs 49 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)62%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast10°C · Overcast
Wind6 km/h
Humidity91%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Struff J.Giron M.
8Days since last match10 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
2Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
49Games · 14 days26 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jan Lennard Struff vs Marcos Giron — European Open - Brussels Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/giron-vs-struff-european-open-brussels-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).